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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 9/22/24
Pick details
Milwaukee Brewers (88-66) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (86-68)
September 22, 2024 at 02:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -128 / Arizona Diamondbacks +109 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Sunday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Arizona Diamondbacks will start Jordan Montgomery here and Montgomery is 8-7 with a 6.23 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Brewers, Montgomery is 2-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 34 strikeouts. Frankie Montas will get the nod for the Brewers here and is 7-11 with a 4.50 ERA and 138 strikeouts this season. In his career, Montas is 1-2 with a 7.24 ERA and 15 strikeouts against the Diamondbacks.
Arizona Diamondbacks Recap
The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this one looking to complete the sweep of the Brewers after ending up with a 5-0 win over Milwaukee on Saturday. The win in the series helped Arizona bounce back from series losses to the Rockies and Brewers in the last week and a half.
Diamondbacks Inching Closer To Postseason
Ketel Marte has 142 hits in addition to a .296 batting average and 22 doubles with 34 home runs and 92 RBIs while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also has 18 home runs and 71 RBIs as well this season. Corbin Carroll has a team-high 32 stolen bases, 14 triples, 21 home runs, and 72 RBIs while Eugenio Suarez has 28 home runs, a team-high 97 RBIs, and 165 strikeouts this season. Christian Walker also has 26 home runs with 82 RBIs of his own in addition to 128 strikeouts this season.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won each of their last six games at American Family Field.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last 12 road games following a road win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
Milwaukee Brewers Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this one looking to bounce back from their series loss and avoid the sweep after Saturday’s defeat. The loss in the set snapped Milwaukee’s series win streak that included wins over Arizona and the Philadelphia Phillies earlier this week.
Brewers Looking Ahead To Playoffs
William Contreras leads the Brewers with 164 hits including 37 doubles and 92 RBIs along with 23 home runs and a .366 OBP while Rhys Hoskins has 25 home runs with 74 RBIs and Willy Adames has 30 doubles with 32 home runs and 109 RBIs. Brice Turang leads the Brewers with 46 stolen bases while Adames has a team-high 170 strikeouts as well this season. Jackson Chourio added 21 homers and 77 RBIs also on the year.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won 13 of their last 15-day games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Diamondbacks have lost four of their last five-day games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight-day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five-day games against teams that held a winning record.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Prediction
I’m on the over here. I simply don’t trust either one of these starters, with Montgomery still boasting an ERA over six as we enter the final week of the season, while Montas was still a head-scratching acquisition for me from Milwaukee’s standpoint as he was never really good this season and in this matchup, the Diamondbacks are crushing right-handed pitching as they have been for much of the second half of the year. I’ll roll with the over in this one.