Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 8/17/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 17th at the Coors Field in the fourth game of this series, with the Rockies having the 2-1 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Colorado Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies have a 34-89 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the NL West. The Rockies have a 18-43 home record and are 54-65 in over/under. They are coming off a 10-7 home victory over the Dbacks, and are 4-1 in their last 5 games. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 games and are playing the Pirates and the Dodgers next.

The Rockies have a .239 batting average this season, .297 OBP and .396 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 6.00 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 113 hits, also leading the team both in RBI, with 69, and in home runs, with 25. Jordan Beck is the team’s best hitter with a .278 batting average.

Antonio Senzatela (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies, and he has a 4-14 record, 7.34 ERA and 1.91 WHIP.

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 60-64 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 30-34 road record and are 59-57 in over/under They are coming off a 7-10 road defeat by the Rockies, and have back-to-back losses. Over is 5-3 in their last 8 games and are playing the Guardians and the Reds next.

The Diamondbacks have a .250 batting average this season, .325 OBP and .440 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.57 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Geraldo Perdomo leads the Diamondbacks with 129 hits, adding a team-high 79 RBI. Ketel Marte is the team’s best hitter with a .298 batting average. Corbin Carroll leads the team in home runs with 26.

Reliever Nabil Crismatt (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and this will be his first start of the season.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Diamondbacks have lost five of their last six games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Rockies have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as road favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last eight Sunday home games against NL West opponents.
• The Rockies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against the Diamondbacks at Coors Field.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last 12 day games against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Rockies have lost each of their last eight day games against the Diamondbacks following a win.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in 14 of their last 16 day games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Diamondbacks following a win.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last 10 day games against the Rockies.
• The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six day games.
• The Rockies have lost the first inning in 10 of their last 11 games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rockies’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last nine home games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last nine games against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockies rank 1st in the league for triples this season (31).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.297).
• The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (27).
• The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.440).

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction

The Diamondbacks are 9-4 in their last 13 meetings against the Rockies, but the Rockies are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Colorado. Under is 5-3 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as -130 road favorites. In no way shape or form I will lay any kind of money with Senzatela on the mound, as he has been absolutely atrocious this season, with WHIP that is close to 2.00 and he has been even weaker at home, with a 7.58 home ERA. The Dbacks are going for a bullpen game, and their bullpen ranks 26th in the league, but on the flip side, they have the league’s 6th-best offense, and are even better against right-handed pitching. The Rockies have the league’s second-worst bullpen to come after Senzatela, so this is overall a recipe for a high-scoring game. Take the over 12.5 runs in this one.