Aug 13, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks second baseman Ketel Marte (4) follows through on a three-run home run during the ninth inning against the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-Imagn Images

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 8/16/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Arizona (60-63) vs Colorado (33-89)

August 16, 2025 at 08:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Colorado +145 — Over/Under: +11.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Colorado Rockies meet Saturday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Arizona Diamondbacks will send out Ryne Nelson for the start here and Nelson is 6-3 with a 3.46 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season. In his career, Nelson is 1-1 with a 11.00 ERA and 3 strikeouts against the Rockies. Chase Dollander will get the nod for the Rockies here and Dollander is 2-9 with a 6.35 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. This will be Dollander’s second career start against the Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to rebound from their 4-3 loss at the hands of the Rockies on Friday to drop to 60-63 this season. After this series, the Diamondbacks will head home for a series against the Cleveland Guardians.

Diamondbacks Still Have 6 Wins In Last 8 Despite Loss

Corbin Carroll has 105 hits with 26 home runs, 63 RBIs, 14 triples and 22 doubles this season. Carroll also has 14 stolen bases and Geraldo Perdomo has a team-high 19 stolen bases as well as 13 home runs and 79 RBIs with a team-high 128 hits this season. Ketel Marte’s added 23 home runs and 56 RBIs as well on the year and Lourdes Gurriel has 107 hits with 22 doubles, 15 home runs and 62 RBIs.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Rockies have lost 11 of their last 12 games against the Diamondbacks following a win.
  • The Diamondbacks have won each of their last six games as favorites against NL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home underdogs against NL West opponents following a win.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against NL West opponents following a loss.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Corbin Carroll has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ryne Nelson has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances.
  • Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Ketel Marte ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.399) this season.

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to add on to their victory over Arizona from Friday’s clash to improve to 33-89 this season. After this set, the Rockies will have a division series at home as the Los Angeles Dodgers come to town.

Rockies Looking To Play Spoiler

Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 111 hits including 20 doubles, 4 triples, 24 home runs and 68 RBIs while Michael Toglia has 58 hits with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 32 RBIs but also has 126 strikeouts. Kyle Farmer has 14 doubles while Jordan Beck has 14 home runs, 19 doubles, 42 RBIs, 5 triples and 14 stolen bases. Brenton Doyle has 86 hits with 13 doubles, 11 home runs, 40 RBIs and 11 stolen bases. Mickey Moniak has 82 hits with 14 doubles, 6 triples and 18 home runs with 46 RBIs.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The Diamondbacks have lost four of their last five games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Rockies have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as road favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Brenton Doyle has hit a home run in three of the Rockies’ last four games against the Diamondbacks.
  • Kyle Farmer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against the Diamondbacks.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Diamondbacks’ last six road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Rockies’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction

I’m on the over in this game. Dollander looked solid in his last start, returning to Colorado’s rotation, but the thing here is that the start there was on the road, and Dollander’s main issues have come at home this season with an ERA over nine. The Rockies on the other hand, have a history of beating on Ryne Nelson, and I think that this could be another spot where Nelson falters and has issues putting it all together. Give me the over in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 11.5

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