Angels vs Mets Prediction 07/21/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Angels vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 21st at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Angels are 49-50 this year after they won two out of three against Philadelphia by scores of 6-5, 5-9, and 8-2. In their game three win, Los Angeles led 5-0 in the second inning and they managed to hold a comfortable lead the rest of the way for the victory. The Angels recorded 13 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Ward, who went 2-4 with four RBIs in the win. Los Angeles started Soriano, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Burke and Fulmer closed out the game. 

Prior to that series, the Angels won two out of three against the Diamondbacks and split four games with the Rangers. Los Angeles has won four of their last six games and they are currently fourth in the AL West standings. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.66 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .262 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 437 runs with a .235 batting average and a .304 on base percentage this season. Taylor Ward has led LA with 23 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Jo Adell has added 21 home runs and 57 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Tyler Anderson, who is 2-6 with a 4.34 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 101.2 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 56-44 this season after they lost two out of three against Cincinnati by scores of 4-8, 2-5, and 3-2. In their game three win, New York blew a 2-1 lead in the eighth, but they scored the winning run in the bottom of the inning for the win. The Mets recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Acuna, Torrens, and Nimmo, who all had one RBI in the win. New York started Peterson, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Diaz picked up the win and Stanek got the save.

Prior to that series, the Mets won two out of three against the Royals, but did lose two out of three against the Orioles before that. New York has lost three of their last four games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 435 runs with a .243 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 21 home runs and 77 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 24 home runs and 57 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Kodai Senga, who is 7-3 with a 1.39 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 77.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Mets will beat the Angels

The Angels have lost seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents following a win.
The Mets have won eight of their last 10 games at Citi Field against teams that held a losing record.
The Angels have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents following a win.
The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
The Angels have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the last seven games between the Angels and Mets have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Nine of the Angels’ last 10 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Angels’ last six night games against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mets’ last 10 games against AL West opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against the Angels.
Starling Marte has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against AL West opponents.
Kodai Senga has recorded five or more strikeouts in 16 of his last 18 home appearances.
Jeff McNeil has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
Kodai Senga has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances at Citi Field.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

Mike Trout has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Taylor Ward has hit a home run in four of the Angels’ last five road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Tyler Anderson has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Angels as underdogs against NL East opponents.
Mike Trout has recorded a Double in three of the Angels’ last four night games.

Angels vs Mets Prediction 

Los Angeles comes into this contest battling with Texas for third in the AL West standings and they have scored at least five runs in four of their last five games. The Angels are 25-27 on the road this year, while the Mets are 34-16 at home. New York has struggled to play consistently for a good part of the season and they are starting Senga, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. LA is going with Anderson, who has allowed 4, 3, and 0 earned runs in his last three starts. I really like how Senga is pitching right now, so give me the Mets -1.5 here.