Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction 5/23/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 23rd at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 25-24 this year after they swept the Padres in three games by scores of 3-0, 14-0, and 7-6. In their game three win, Toronto blew a 4-2 lead in the ninth, but they battled in extra innings and got the win in the 11th. The Blue Jays recorded 12 hits in the game, and they were led by Varsho, who went 1-5 with two RBIs in the win. Toronto started Francis, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Hoffman blew the save and Fisher got the win. 

Prior to that series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Tigers and two out of three against the Rays. Toronto has won four of its last five games, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 203 runs with a .250 batting average and a .321 on-base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero has led Toronto with six home runs and 22 RBIs, while Daulton Varsho has added seven home runs and 19 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Drew Rasmussen, who is 2-4 with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 46.0 innings pitched this year. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 23-26 this season after they won two out of three against the Astros by scores of 3-4, 3-2, and 8-4. In their game three win, Tampa Bay nearly blew a 5-2 lead in the eighth, but they added three insurance runs to seal the win. The Rays recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Diaz, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Tampa Bay started Bradley, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Uceta allowed two hits and two earned runs in one relief inning. 

Prior to that series, the Rays lost two out of three against the Marlins, but did win two out of three against the Blue Jays before that. Tampa Bay has won three of its last five games, and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 193 runs with a .241 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with eight home runs and 20 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added eight home runs and 25 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Eric Lauer, who is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP over 12.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Rays will beat the Blue Jays 

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six road games after going to extra innings.
• The Rays have won five of their last six home games against the Blue Jays.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 15 games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the Blue Jays’ last three games.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Blue Jays.

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Rays 

• The Blue Jays have won six of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Rays have lost four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last six road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rays’ last four games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last five night games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 home appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays’ last six games.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded two or more RBIs in three of the Rays’ last four games against AL East opponents.
• Danny Jansen has scored at least one run in each of his last three appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Blue Jays after not playing the previous day.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Blue Jays’ last six games against AL East opponents.
• Anthony Santander has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Rays.
• George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as road underdogs.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded an RBI in each of the Blue Jays’ last four road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction 

Toronto rolls into this series after picking up an impressive sweep against the Padres, and they have scored 21 runs in their last two games. The Blue Jays are 9-12 on the road this year, while the Rays are 13-18 at home. Tampa Bay is coming off a series win against Houston, and they are starting Rasmussen, who has allowed three earned runs or more in four of his last five starts. The Jays are starting Lauer, who has allowed three earned runs and seven hits over 12.0 innings. I don’t love either starting pitcher in this matchup, and with Toronto scoring in bunches right now, I like the over here.