San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 5/23/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Padres vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 23, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres (27-21, 11-13 Away) are going through their worst period of the season after losing six games in a row. The Padres were swept by the Mariners and Blue Jays. Following a pair of losses without scoring a single run, the Padres tried to avoid the sweep in Toronto, but fell short 7-6 in extra innings. Gavin Sheets led the offense with a career-high five RBI, while Stephen Kolek pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing four runs (three earned) on seven hits with six strikeouts and three walks. Jeremiah Estrada took the loss.

This year, the Padres average 4.27 runs per game (16th in the MLB) on a .256/.321/.389 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Padres’ staff has a 3.50 ERA (10th) and 1.19 WHIP (8th). Gavin Sheets leads the Padres with a .286 batting average, eight home runs, and 28 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Padres is Nick Pivetta, who is 5-2 in nine starts this season, with a 2.86 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 50.1 innings.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves (24-25, 15-7 Home) beat the Nationals and Red Sox, but then suffered a sweep at the hands of the Nationals, who beat them in a two-game series (one was postponed due to bad weather). In last night’s 8-7 extra innings defeat, Matt Olson, Marcell Ozuna, and Michael Harris II led the team with two RBI apiece, while AJ Smith-Shawver pitched for 3.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing seven runs on eight hits with one strikeout and three walks. Dylan Lee took the loss.

This season, the Braves average 4.18 runs per game (18th in the MLB) on a .247/.318/.391 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.85 ERA (13th) and 1.25 WHIP (14th). Matt Olson leads the Braves with a .250 batting average, 11 home runs, and 28 RBI this season.

Chris Sale will take the mound for the Braves on Friday. The 36-year-old left-hander has a 2-3 record in ten starts this year with a 3.62 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 54.2 innings.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last four home games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Padres’ last four night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last six night games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Padres and Braves at Truist Park.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 10th in the league for runs allowed this season (194).
• The Braves rank T20th in the league for steals this season (32).
• The Padres rank 3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (348).
• The Padres rank T26th in the league for home runs this season (43).

Padres vs Braves Prediction

The Padres won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last five. The Padres swept the Braves in a four-game series this season, and Atlanta will surely be eager to get revenge here. Still, I am going with Under instead of betting on the winner. Six of the last ten H2Hs went Under, which was the case in Atlanta’s previous ten games. Nick Pivetta surprisingly struggled against the Rockies but bounced back against Seattle. He was dominant in his previous start against the Braves, allowing no runs in 7.0 innings. Chris Sale surrendered three runs in 5.0 innings in the same game, which ended 5-0 for San Diego. I expect a similar amount of runs in this one. Go with Under.