Philadelphia Phillies vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 5/9/25 MLB Picks

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 22-15 on the year and play the Brewers, Reds, and Twins next. The Cleveland Guardians are batting .238 on the season, have a .311 OBP, and a .386 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians' pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP. Steven Kwan leads the Cleveland Guardians with 49 hits and 17 RBI, while Jose Ramirez and Gabriel Arias have combined for 68 hits and 33 RBI.

Gavin Williams gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 2-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. This will be Williams’ second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The Phillies have lost each of their last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Guardians have won seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games at Progressive Field following a road win.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last eight games against American League opponents.
• The Guardians have lost each of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as road favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Progressive Field against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in 10 of their last 13 games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Guardians' last five games at Progressive Field against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Santana has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians' last four games.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 14 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians' last 11 games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Lane Thomas has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Steven Kwan ranks T4th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.333) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of the Phillies' last two games as favorites against the Guardians.
• Bryce Harper has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies' last five road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Max Kepler has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Phillies' last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Nola has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in seven of the Phillies' last eight night games.
• Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies' last seven road games.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies' last seven games as favorites.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.571) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

You can make a case for the Guardians with the way they’ve played over the last week, and they’re at home in a bit of a statement series. The problem is the Phillies have played just as well, and they have the starting pitching edge. Williams has been way too up and down, and he’s allowed 37 hits and 18 earned runs in 32 innings while walking 19. Nola has had his struggles as well, but he’s an all-star caliber pitcher who is due to turn things around, and he’s actually allowed just seven hits and one run in his last 13 innings. You’re not going to get Nola at prices this cheap often as long as he stays in form. Give me the Phillies and the cheap price.