Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 5/7/25 MLB Picks

Reds Struggle In 4th Straight Loss

Elly De La Cruz has a team-high 36 hits with 5 home runs, 25 RBIs, and 13 stolen bases, while TJ Friedl has 36 hits with 6 doubles and 13 RBIs with 7 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 33 hits with a team-high 8 doubles and 15 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has 3 home runs and 11 RBIs, and Matt McLain has added 4 homers, 12 RBIs, and 6 stolen bases as well on the year.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Braves have lost each of their last seven games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last seven games at Truist Park following a road loss.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 night games against NL Central opponents following a win.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Stephenson has scored a run in each of his last five appearances with the Reds as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• Hunter Greene has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
• Hunter Greene has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Reds as favorites.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Reds' last six games as road favorites.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds' last 11 games as road favorites.
• Jose Trevino has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.
• Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Jose Trevino has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Elly De La Cruz ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (14) this season.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Reds from Tuesday to improve to 17-18 on the year. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Braves Win Three Straight

Austin Riley leads the Braves with 41 hits, including 8 home runs, 25 RBIs, and a team-high 6 doubles, but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 45 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 33 hits with 5 home runs and 14 RBIs in addition to 5 stolen bases, and Matt Olson has 27 hits with 5 doubles, 6 home runs, and 18 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 29 hits with 5 home runs and 12 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 28 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs, and 19 RBIs and 7 stolen bases as well, and Nick Allen has 5 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last three games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Reds have lost each of their last five Wednesday night games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 12 of the Reds' last 13 games at Truist Park.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites after going to extra innings.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Alex Verdugo has recorded a Double in three of his four previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL Central opponents.
• Alex Verdugo has scored at least one run in each of his six previous appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves' last seven games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last 11 home games against NL opponents.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine home appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Marcell Ozuna ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.433) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds' last six road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Braves' last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction

I’m on the under here. Right now, the offense is just struggling to put runs on the board for Cincinnati, and I think that the Reds could have some issues here as well. Holmes is a decent option for Atlanta, and it wouldn’t surprise me if we saw a similar output from the Reds here. On the other side, Greene is Cincinnati’s staff ace, and I think that the Braves could have issues producing against him as well. Give me the under in this one.