Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction 4/23/25 MLB Picks

Phillies Looking To Avoid Sweep After Losing Three Straight

Nick Castellanos has a team-high 24 hits with 6 doubles, including 3 home runs and 14 RBIs, while Kyle Schwarber has 22 hits with a team-high 7 home runs and 16 RBIs as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 5 stolen bases, 5 home runs, and 14 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 21 hits with a team-high 6 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 6 doubles and Bryson Stott has 4 doubles, 2 homers, and 13 RBIs, while Stott and J.T. Realmuto also have 4 stolen bases apiece this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last seven day games following a loss.
• The Mets have lost four of their last five day games against the Phillies following a win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five day games following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five Wednesday games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Nick Castellanos has hit a home run in two of the Phillies' last three day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Phillies' last six day games.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Max Kepler has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets will be out to keep the ball rolling after picking up the win on Tuesday to improve to 17-7 on the year. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Washington Nationals.

Mets Win Six Straight & Push For Second Straight Sweep

Pete Alonso has a team-high 28 hits with 9 doubles, 6 home runs, 24 RBIs, and a .341 batting average, while Juan Soto has 20 hits with 5 doubles, 3 home runs, and 12 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 25 hits with a pair of stolen bases along with 4 doubles, 5 home runs, and 13 RBIs, while Brandon Nimmo has a team-high 19 strikeouts so far this season. Nimmo has also added 18 hits with 3 doubles and 4 home runs, and 10 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 6 doubles, and Luisangel Acuna has 6 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The home team has won each of the Mets' last eight games.
• The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Mets following a road loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one Double in each of the Mets' last five Wednesday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Mets' last two day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets' last four games against the Phillies at Citi Field.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Mets' last eight day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets' last six games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Phillies' last 10 day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Prediction

I’m going to ride with the Phillies here. It hasn’t paid off in the first two games of the series, and maybe it’s a fool’s game to try to fade the Mets at home, given how strong New York has looked at home out of the gate so far this season. However, Wheeler is the staff ace for the Phillies, and this is the spot where his team needs him to be a stopper. David Peterson’s got some strong numbers himself to start the year, but I think this Phillies lineup can get to him and avoid the sweep. Give me Philadelphia in this one.