Cardinals vs Braves Prediction 4/23/25 MLB Picks

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 9-14 this year after they lost game two by a score of 10-4 on Tuesday night. Atlanta erased an early 2-0 lead, and they led 4-2 in the fifth, but they fell apart in the later innings for the blowout loss. The Braves recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Verdugo, Riley, Olson, and Murphy, who all had one RBI in the loss. Atlanta started Blewett, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 3.0 innings, while De Los Santos and Wiles allowed three earned runs each in the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Braves swept the Twins in three games, but lost two out of three against the Blue Jays before that. Atlanta has won four of their last five games, and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.54 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 88 runs with a .232 batting average and a .311 on-base percentage this year. Austin Riley has led Atlanta with six home runs and 16 RBIs, while Ozzie Albies has added four home runs and 11 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 15.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Braves will beat the Cardinals 

• The Cardinals have lost each of their last five day games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Braves have won each of their last five home games following a loss.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last five home games following a loss.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents.
• The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home day games.

Why the Cardinals will beat the Braves 

• The Braves have lost eight of their last nine games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Cardinals have won each of their last four Wednesday games as underdogs.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Braves.
• The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Braves.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Braves' last seven home games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Cardinals' last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in seven of the Cardinals' last eight road games.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in 22 of his last 23 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents at Truist Park.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Alex Verdugo has scored at least one run in each of his six previous appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Austin Riley has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against NL Central opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Willson Contreras has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
• Nolan Gorman has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Cardinals as road underdogs against the Braves.
• Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Alec Burleson has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Cardinals' last eight games against the Braves.
• Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Nolan Gorman has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances against the Braves.

Cardinals vs Braves Prediction 

St. Louis was able to snap their losing streak with a big win on Tuesday night, but they are just 2-10 on the road this season. Atlanta is 7-3 at home, and they have scored at least six runs in three of their last five games. Both of these pitchers come into this matchup with some ugly numbers so far this year, and I think both lineups will have plenty of success here. I do think Mikolas has a slight edge, but I like the over here.