New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 4/20/25 MLB Picks

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 9-12 on the year and play the Diamondbacks, Padres, and Royals next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .265 on the season, have a .330 OBP, and a .412 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Jonathan Aranda leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 22 hits and 13 RBI while Junior Caminero and Yandy Diaz have combined for 41 hits and 19 RBI.

Ryan Pepiot gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 1-2 with a 4.91 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. This will be Pepiot’s second career game against the New York Yankees.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last four games as home underdogs after going to extra innings.
• The Yankees have lost four of their last six games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as home underdogs.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road favorites.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Rays have lost each of their last five day games following a home win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games following a win.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Rays have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Danny Jansen has hit a home run in four of his last 10 appearances with his team as an underdog against the Yankees.
• Yandy Diaz has scored at least one run in four of the Rays' last five games as home underdogs against the Yankees.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Rays' last five day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Sunday day appearances.
• Jonathan Aranda ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.367) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in four of the Yankees' last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Max Fried has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite against AL opponents.
• Jazz Chisholm has scored a run in five of the Yankees' last six games as favorites.
• Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his four previous appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven road appearances against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances.
• Max Fried ranks T1st in the league for Wins (3) this season.

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Rays haven’t been able to string together success this season, particularly on the offensive side. Pepiot has also been hittable this month, allowing 20 hits and 11 runs in 16 innings. Pepiot has allowed six homers during that span which isn’t ideal when going up against the Yankees. Fried has been ridiculous through his first 24 innings with the Yankees, allowing 23 hits and five earned runs while striking out 28. The season is still young, but Fried has top-six CY Young odds at the moment. I have to roll with the Yankees, and I’ll lay the RL to shave down the price.