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Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 4/16/25 MLB Picks
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Pittsburgh Pirates (6-12) vs Washington Nationals (7-10)
April 16, 2025 at 06:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates -112 / Washington Nationals -108 — Over/Under: 8.5
In this article, we will formulate a Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 16th, at PNC Park. To formulate this prediction, we will look at:Â
-The Nationals’ recent form and recent player performanceÂ
-The Pirates’ recent form and recent player performance
-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Washington
-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Pittsburgh
-Recent betting trends in games played between Washington and Pittsburgh
-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Nationals and Pirates.Â
Nationals Get Strong Pitching
The Nationals’ pitching was strong on Tuesday, and they gave up zero runs on the way to the victory. Jake Irvin was on the mound, and he was dominant, going seven innings, giving up three hits and zero runs. That was a big bounce-back from Monday, when the pitching gave up ten runs.Â
The Nationals are averaging 4.56 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.63 runs per game. The offense is ranked 11th in the league while the pitching is ranked 30th. Nathaniel Lowe has hit three home runs and driven in 16 RBIs. James Wood has also hit five home runs and driven in 12 RBIs. Getting the start for the Nationals will be Mitchell Parker, who sits with a 2-0 record and an ERA of 1.96. Against the Miami Marlins, he went six innings, giving up five hits and three runs.Â
Why the Natioanls Will Beat the Pirates
- The Pirates have lost four of their last five games.
- The Nationals have won four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games as favorites.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine games as underdogs.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight games as underdogs.
Another Long Season for the Pirates
It looks like it’s going to be another long season for the Pirates, and coming into this game, they sit with only six wins. The Pirates finished with four hits and zero runs. Mitch Keller went six innings, giving up six hits and three runs. He wasn’t awful, but he also wasn’t good enough with the lack of scoring.Â
The Pirates are averaging 3.53 runs per game, while their pitching is giving up 4.76 runs per game. The offense is ranked 25th in the league, while the defense is ranked 21st. Oneil Cruz has hit two home runs and driven in five RBIs. Getting the start for the Pirates will be Bailey Falter, who has a 0-2 record and an ERA of 7.20. Against the Cincinnati Reds, he went five innings, giving up three hits and three earned runs.Â
Total Run Facts
- Nine of the Nationals’ last 10 night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Pirates’ last eight home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last seven home games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Nationals’ last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Give me the Nationals here. Mitchell Parker is on the mound for the Nationals. He has been dominant to start the season so far. The pitching for Washington hasn’t been good, but one of the only bright spots for this team has been with the starting pitcher in this game. He sits with an ERA of 1.96 and will dominate again here. The Pirates are averaging 3.53 runs per game, and they are going to really struggle to get the offense going here. Back the Nationals on the money line.Â