Royals vs Yankees Prediction 4/16/25 MLB Picks

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 10-7 this season, and they have won four of their last six games. In their Game 2  win, the Yankees had trouble getting much going in the first five innings, but they erupted for four runs in the sixth and were able to get a nice win. New York recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Dominguez, who went 3-3 with three RBIs in the win. The Yankees started Fried, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 6.2 innings, while Weaver and Williams combined for 2.1 scoreless innings in the win. 

Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Giants and two out of three against the Tigers. The New York pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .196 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 103 runs with a .257 batting average and a .342 on-base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with six home runs and 20 RBIs, while Anthony Volpe has added four home runs and 13 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clarke Schmidt, who is making his first start of the season, but did go 5-5 with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 85.1 innings last year. 

Why the Royals will beat the Yankees 

• The Royals have won three of their last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Yankees have lost four of their last five night games following a win.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Wednesday games.
• The Royals have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Royals' last eight games as underdogs against the Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees' last five games as favorites against the Royals have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Royals' last six games at Yankee Stadium.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last six games against American League opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• DJ LeMahieu has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against the Royals at Yankee Stadium.
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees against AL opponents.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded an RBI in three of the Royals' last four games against AL East opponents.
• Hunter Renfroe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
• Mark Canha has scored a run in five of his last six appearances against AL East opponents.
• MJ Melendez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals' last seven Wednesday night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Royals vs Yankees Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup looking to complete the three-game sweep, as they are getting back on track after losing two series to San Francisco and Detroit. The Yankees are 7-4 at home this year, while the Royals are just 2-6 on the road. Kansas City continues to struggle at the plate, and they have scored two runs or fewer in three of their last five games. The Royals have had some very strong pitching to start the season, and they will go with Bubic, who has been elite through three starts. New York will get Schmidt back from the IL for his first start of the year, but I think Bubic with the plus money is the way to go. Take the Royals here.