Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 4/12/25 MLB Picks

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Detroit

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota

-Recent betting trends in games played between Detroit and Minnesota

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Tigers and Twins. 

Nice Comeback for the Tigers

It was a nice comeback for the Tigers on Friday and that was enough for 7-6 victory. The Tigers scored four runs in the 6th inning and they held on late. Zack McNistry had a strong game finished with two hits and one RBI. Catcher Dillon Dingler also finished with three hits and one RBI. This was a good follow up from a Yankees series where they also were able to win two of the three games. 

The Tigers are averaging 4.92 runs per game, while their pitching is giving up 3.75 runs per game. Kerry Carpenter has hit four home runs and driven in nine RBIs. Jackson Jobe will start for the Tigers, and he has a 0-0 record and an ERA of 5.00. Against the Chicago White Sox, he went five innings, giving up four hits and three runs. Against a bad offense, he’s going to need to dominate here. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Twins

• The Twins have lost each of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have won 14 of their last 15 road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight games at Target Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Twins Are Bad

It’s still early in the season, but at this point, there is no other way to put it: the Twins are bad. The Twins had two runners on in the bottom of the 9th, but they couldn’t make the big hit, and they ended up losing by a run. Byron Buxton did it a home run and drove in two RBIs and if he can get his bat going, that would be a really good start. Jorge Alacala came off the bench and he didn’t even record an out while giving up two hits and four earned runs. 

The Twins are averaging 3.38 runs per game, while their pitching is giving up 4.31 runs per game. This offense has been so cold all season that it feels like almost the entire lineup is on a cold steak. Chris Paddack will start for the Twins. He has an 0-1 record and an ERA of 14.73. Against the Houston Astros, he went four innings, giving up seven hits and three earned runs. 

Why the Twins Will Beat the Tigers

• Six of the Twins' last seven games as favorites against the Tigers have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Tigers' last six games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last six day games against American League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Tigers' last four games against American League opponents.

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

The Twins offense is averaging only 3.38 runs per game, and that isn’t going to be enough to get the job done with Chris Paddack on the mound. Paddack gave up seven hits and three runs in his last start and he was lucky it wasn’t more. This Tigers offense has bats and even though they got out to a slow start on Friday, they broke out in the sixth inning. In this game, it’s not going to take until the 6th inning to get the job done. Back the Tigers on the run line to cash here.