Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 4/11/25 MLB Picks

Tampa Bay Rays (5-7) vs Atlanta Braves (3-9)

Game Info: Friday, April 11, 2025 at 7:05 pm (George M. Steinbrenner Field)

B. Elder (R) vs T. Bradley (R)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays -122 / Atlanta Braves +102 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.TV

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 11, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves (3-9, 0-7 Away) opened this season with seven consecutive defeats but managed to stabilize lately with three wins in five games. After suffering a series sweep against the Padres and Dodgers, the Braves split with the Marlins and beat the Phillies 2-1. In the most recent 4-2 extra-innings win, Marcell Ozuna hit a two-run homer in the 11th to secure the win. Spencer Schwellenbach pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on seven hits with five strikeouts and two walks. Jose Suarez was credited with a win.

This season, the Braves average 3.09 runs per game (28th in the MLB) on a .215/.305/.327 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 4.39 ERA (20th) and 1.33 WHIP (20th). Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with a .316 batting average, two home runs, and seven RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Braves is Bryce Elder, who has a 0-0 record in one start this year with a 6.75 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 4.0 innings.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays (5-7, 5-4 Home) were on a five-game losing streak, and although they avoided the sixth loss in a row with a 5-4 win over the Angels, they succumbed to a massive 11-1 defeat in Game 3 of that series. Before that series, the Rays were swept by the Rangers, while they beat the Pirates and Rockies. Zack Littell was awful in this last game, as he allowed seven runs on eight hits with four strikeouts and one walk over 4.0 innings of work. He has now dropped to a 0-3 record this season.

This year, the Rays average 3.82 runs per game (16in the MLB) on a .256/.319/.390 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rays’ staff has a 3.17 ERA (5th) and 1.03 WHIP (2nd). Brandon Lowe leads the Rays with a .289 batting average, three home runs, and eight RBI this season.

Taj Bradley will take the mound for the Rays on Friday. The 24-year-old right-hander has a 1-0 record in two starts this year with a 4.91 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over 11.0 innings of work.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Braves' last four games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Rays' last seven games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last four games against AL East opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rays' last six Friday games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rays rank T3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (86).
  • The Rays rank T27th in the league for home runs allowed this season (18).
  • The Braves rank T28th in the league for steals this season (4).
  • The Braves rank 23rd in the league for hits this season (86).

Braves vs Rays Prediction

The Braves won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last six. Even though seven of the past ten H2H went over, and neither Elder nor Bradley impressed me so far in the season, I am going with Under in this game. The reason for this is that both the Braves and Rays have been struggling offensively, and the pitching is the better part of the teams. The Braves are 3-7 Over/Under in the last ten games, while the Rays are 4-6 Over/Under over the last ten. Only two of the Rays' nine games this season produced more than nine runs. I am backing Under. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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