Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4/2/25 MLB Picks

Kyle Freeland will take the mound for the Rockies on Wednesday. The 31-year-old southpaw had a 5-8 record last season in 21 starts with a 5.24 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 113.1 innings. This season, Freeland dominated the Rays in a no-decision as he allowed no runs on two hits with seven strikeouts and no walks in 6.0 innings.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (3-1, 1-0 Home) beat the Washington Nationals 2-1 in the opening series of the season on the road and then took care of the Colorado Rockies 6-1 in Game 1 of this three-game series. The Phillies struggled offensively for the opening six innings against the Rox, as they couldn't do anything against German Marquez, but as soon as the Rockies bullpen took over, Philly had an easy job. Kyle Schwarber and Edmundo Sosa contributed a pair of RBIs apiece, while Joe Ross got a win.

This season, the Phillies average 6.25 runs per game (4th in the MLB) on a .289/.377/.528 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.75 ERA (12th) and 1.19 WHIP (9th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .353 batting average, three home runs, and six RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Phillies is Zack Wheeler, who had a 16-7 record in 32 starts last season with a 2.57 ERA and 0.98 WHIP over 200.0 innings of work. Wheeler was solid in a no-decision against the Nationals (7-3 win) as he registered a 1.50 ERA in 6.0 innings.

Why the Rockies will beat the Phillies

• The Phillies have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a home win.
• The Rockies have won three of their last four games as road underdogs following a road loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in three of their last four games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against NL West opponents.

Why the Phillies will beat the Rockies

• The Rockies have lost each of their last nine road games against the Phillies following a road loss.
• The Phillies have won each of their last seven home games against the Rockies following a home win.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against NL West opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rockies' last four games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Ten of the Phillies' last 12 games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last seven games against National League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in four of the Rockies' last five games.

Rockies vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including five of the last seven. Kyle Freeland turned back the clock with his opening display of the season, but I don't think he will have such a good day in Philly on Wednesday. The Phillies have a much better offense than the Rays, so I am sure they will hand him a lot of trouble here. I think Freeland will surrender at least two or three runs in the first few innings. Also, I expect the Rockies to bounce back offensively after failing to score more than two runs in three of four games this year. Wheeler is a tricky pitcher, but I am sure the Rox can do damage. Of course, the worst bullpen in baseball will help us win this bet, so I'll take Over with no hesitation.