New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 10/5/24

The New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Kodai Senga will get the start for the Mets here and was 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 9 strikeouts in the regular season. Zack Wheeler will start this one for the Phillies and was 16-7 with a 2.57 ERA and 224 strikeouts in the regular season. Wheeler kept his opponents to two or fewer runs since late August when he allowed seven earned runs in a loss to the Yankees.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this one looking to make some more noise in the underdog role after winning their series with the Milwaukee Brewers after a 4-2 win in the deciding game three last time out. The Mets will try to keep their run going to get back to the NLCS for the first time since 2015. The winner of this series will face the Padres or the Dodgers in the NLCS.

Mets Looking To Make Noise

Pete Alonso has 34 home runs and 88 RBIs with 31 doubles and Francisco Lindor has 39 doubles of his own with 33 home runs and 91 RBIs along with 29 stolen bases. Brandon Nimmo has 90 RBIs and 158 strikeouts while Lindor has a team-high 169 hits and Harrison Bader has 17 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Phillies have lost five of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Mets have won four of their last six playoff games as road underdogs.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six-day games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in five of their last six playoff games as road underdogs.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into the postseason with the #2 seed as the division winner in the NL East, finishing with a record of 95-67. It’s the third straight playoff appearance for the Phillies, who will be hunting for their third straight NLDS win after knocking off the Braves and Padres in the last two seasons.

Phillies Trying To Hold Down Home Field Advantage

Alec Bohm has 155 hits including 44 doubles, a .280 batting average, and 97 RBIs while Bryce Harper has 157 hits, 30 home runs with 87 RBIs and Bryson Stott has a team-high 32 stolen bases. Kyle Schwarber has a team-high 38 home runs, 104 RBIs, and 197 strikeouts as well this season. Johan Rojas also has 25 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won seven of their last eight playoff games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have lost each of their last five playoff games following a win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight playoff games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four playoff games following a win.

Mets vs. Phillies Prediction

I’m going to take a shot on the Mets here. I’d be lying if I wasn’t a little concerned about Senga in this game but the Mets are one of those teams that just keeps finding ways to win and I can’t turn down this kind of price with them in all honesty. Philadelphia’s got some solid bats and one of the better lineups in the playoffs, but this price feels like a little much when there could easily be some rust in the bats the first time through the order. New York’s got momentum and I think they’re worth a look here. Give me the Mets.