Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 9/25/24

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 93-65 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Philadelphia won the first game in this series by a score of 6-2, but they were blown out on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Phillies lost three out of four against the Mets, lost two out of three against the Brewers, and won two out of three against the Mets. Philadelphia is 5-7 in their last 12 games and they have clinched the NL East. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 765 runs with a .258 batting average and a .326 on-base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .287 with 30 home runs and 87 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Javier Assad, who is 7-5 with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 142.2 innings pitched this year. Assad has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 11-9 with a 3.25 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 177.0 innings pitched this season. Sanchez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings.

Why the Phillies will beat the Cubs

• The Phillies have won 13 of their last 14 home games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Cubs have lost each of their last seven games as road underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six games as home favorites against NL Central opponents following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Cubs' last seven night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Phillies' last four games as favorites against the Cubs have gone OVER the total runs line.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Double in six of his last eight appearances against the Cubs at Citizens Bank Park.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Phillies' last five games against NL Central opponents.
• Bryson Stott has scored a run in each of his last six appearances against the Cubs at Citizens Bank Park.
• Bryce Harper has recorded two or more total bases in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Cubs at Citizens Bank Park.
• Bryce Harper has recorded a Single in each of his last four appearances against the Cubs.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances in night games.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Dansby Swanson has recorded an RBI in each of his last four road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Dansby Swanson has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Cubs as road underdogs.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in 10 of his last 11 appearances against the Phillies.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cubs' last 12 night games.
• Christian Bethancourt has hit a home run in three of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against NL opponents.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one Double in each of the Cubs' last three road games against NL East opponents.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs' last 12 games as road underdogs against NL opponents.

Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 

The Phillies clinched the NL East on Monday night and you could tell they celebrated afterward with their effort on Tuesday, but they will look to pursue the #1 seed in the NL here. Philadelphia is 53-27 at home this year, while Chicago is just 39-41 on the road. The Cubs are starting Javier Assad, who hasn’t been great, but he also hasn’t been too bad recently. The Phillies are going with Cristopher Sanchez, who has been lights out in his recent starts. Take the Phillies to win by at least two runs behind another gem from Sanchez.