Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction MLB Picks 9/21/24

Pick details

Miami Marlins (56-97) vs Atlanta Braves (83-70)

September 21, 2024 at 04:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +195 / Atlanta Braves -238 — Over/Under: 7.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins meet Saturday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Braves vs Marlins pick. We will examine:

The Atlanta Braves’ recent form and player performance

The Miami Marlins’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Braves

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins

Recent betting trends in games played between the Braves and Marlins

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Braves vs Marlins game

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Braves played the Cincinnati Reds in their last series. Atlanta won the last two games in that set following a Tuesday loss 6-5. On Friday versus Miami, the Braves took a 4-3 loss after giving up three in the first inning.

Max Fried will start for the Braves on Saturday. This year Fried is 9-10 with a 3.49 ERA in 27 starts. Over 166 career games (149 starts) Fried is 71-36 with a 3.11 ERA.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

Over on the Marlins’ side, they played the Los Angeles Dodgers this week. Miami won 11-9 Tuesday before losing 8-4 and 20-4 in the next two. On Friday the Marlins posted two errors and were out-hit 9-8 in the win.

In the starter slot for Miami on Saturday will be Adam Oller. So far Oller is 1-4 with a 5.40 ERA in six starts. Oller is 4-13 with a 6.66 ERA in 34 career games (21 starts).

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the last eight games between the Braves and Marlins has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Fourteen of the Braves’ last 17 games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight-day games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last five games against the Braves.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins’ last seven games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight-day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake Burger has hit a home run in 12 of his last 24 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in each of the Marlins’ last four-day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last eight-day games against opponents that held a winning record.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Michael Harris has hit at least one home run in three of the Braves’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Michael Harris has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last eight road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Ramon Laureano has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves’ last eight road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jorge Soler has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Max Fried has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Marlins.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against NL opponents.

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction

I might take a stab at the Marlins here. Miami has been coughing up a ton of runs lately though (a combined 37 in three games versus the Dodgers) so I’m probably staying away. That said, Fried might give the offense some opportunities. He’s given up seven earned over his last 12.0 innings in a pair of losses.

On Friday the Marlins were able to power out a victory thanks to a huge first inning. There wasn’t much happening beyond that, however, as Michael Harris (run) had three of eight team hits. Miami should have a decent shot if they can keep it going in the pen, however.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Miami Marlins +195

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