Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 9/21/24

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Cincinnati Reds meet Saturday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Pirates vs Reds pick. We will examine:

The Pittsburgh Pirates’ recent form and player performance

The Cincinnati Reds’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pittsburgh Pirates

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds

Recent betting trends in games played between the Pirates and Reds

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Pirates vs Reds game

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

In their last set, the Pirates played the St. Louis Cardinals. Pittsburgh lost three of those games before a 3-2 win in the finale. On Friday versus Cincinnati, Pittsburgh took an 8-3 loss. Starter Mitch Keller lasted 3.1 innings with eight earned runs.

Jared Jones will start for the Pirates on Saturday. This year Jones is 6-7 with a 3.85 ERA in 20 starts in his rookie campaign.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

Over on the Reds’ side, they won Tuesday versus the Atlanta Braves but dropped the next two games. On Friday Cincinnati scored seven runs between the third and fourth innings in the victory.

It’ll be Rhett Lowder in the starter slot for the Reds on Saturday. This year Lowder is 1-2 with a 1.74 ERA in the first four starts of his career.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last four games as home favorites has gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Pirates’ last five-day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last five-day games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last three-day games at Great American Ball Park.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
• TJ Friedl has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against the Pirates at Great American Ball Park.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Reds as favorites against the Pirates.
• Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in four of the Reds’ last five games against the Pirates at Great American Ball Park.
• Jonathan India has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last nine games as favorites against the Pirates.
• Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in seven of the Reds’ last eight games as favorites.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Andrew McCutchen has scored a run in each of the Pirates’ last five games at Great American Ball Park against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in 14 of his last 15 appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded two Singles in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Yasmani Grandal has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• Oneil Cruz has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Reds. Lowder had a spotty outing versus Minnesota in his last start, taking a loss with three earned in 5.1 innings. Over his two starts prior, however, Lowder was 1-0 with no earned in 11.1 innings. As for Jones, he’s 1-0 with seven earned over 17.1 innings in his last three outings.

On Friday the Reds had a couple of big offensive performances in the big win. There were plenty of hiccups, however, including the bullpen (3.0 innings; three earned). Cincinnati is going to have to improve across the board Saturday.