Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 9/19/24

Pick details

Cincinnati Reds (73-78) vs Atlanta Braves (81-69)

September 19, 2024 at 01:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds +172 / Atlanta Braves -204 — Over/Under:

(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Braves and the Cincinnati Reds meet Thursday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Braves vs Reds pick. We will examine:

The Atlanta Braves’ recent form and player performance

The Cincinnati Reds’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Braves

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds

Recent betting trends in games played between the Braves and Reds

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Braves vs Reds game

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

Over the weekend the Braves took on the Los Angeles Dodgers. Atlanta managed to win two of those four games for a split. After a 6-5 loss to the Reds in their opener, on Wednesday the Braves powered out the win 7-1.

In the starter slot for the finale, the Braves are sending out Chris Sale. So far this year Sale is 17-3 with a 2.35 ERA in 28 starts. Sale is 137-83 with a 3.04 ERA in 371 career games (291 starts).

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

Over on the Reds’ side, they played the Minnesota Twins over the weekend. Cincinnati won the first pair before a 9-2 loss Sunday. In Wednesday’s game, the Reds were out-hit 10-5 in the defeat.

It’ll be Julian Aguiar in the starter role for the Reds on Thursday. This year Aguiar is 2-0 with a 4.88 ERA in the first six starts of his career.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Reds’ last eight games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total run line.
  • Four of the Braves’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five-day games between the Braves and Reds at Great American Ball Park.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last three-day games against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Fraley has hit a home run in four of his eight previous appearances at Great American Ball Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Reds’ last four games as home underdogs against the Braves.
  • Elly De La Cruz has scored a run in each of the Reds’ last four games against NL East opponents at Great American Ball Park.
  • Ty France has recorded at least one Single in each of the Reds’ last five games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Reds’ last five games against NL East opponents at Great American Ball Park.
  • Ty France has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Braves as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • Chris Sale has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as favorites.
  • Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in four of the Braves’ last five games against the Reds at Great American Ball Park.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances against NL opponents.
  • Austin Riley has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Braves as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • Ozzie Albies has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against the Reds.
  • Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last five road games against the Reds.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves’ last 14 road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I’ll stick with the Braves. Sale is on quite a roll these days. Over his last three starts Sale is 2-0 with just one earned on 13 hits and three walks in 19.0 innings of work. As for Aguiar, he’s 1-0 with five earned in 13.2 total innings over his last three starts.

On Wednesday Atlanta didn’t get it going offensively until the seventh inning. The Braves’ bullpen was great on 3.0 innings, with no hits, no earned, one walk, and three Ks. I like Atlanta to keep rolling behind Sale on Thursday.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Atlanta Braves -204

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