Houston Astros vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 9/4/24

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Cincinnati Reds (66-73) vs Houston Astros (75-63)

September 4, 2024 at 06:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds / Houston Astros — Over/Under:

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In this article, we will formulate a Houston Astros vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday,  September 4th, at the Great American Ballpark.  To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Astros’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Reds’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati

-Recent betting trends in games played between Houston and Cincinnati

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Astros and Reds.

Astros Look to Bounce Back

On Monday, the Astros offense scored three runs, but it wasn’t enough as the pitching gave up five runs. At the end of the first inning, they were down 2-0 and they didn’t bounce back. Justin Verlander went 4.2 innings giving up eight hits and five runs. The Astros are averaging 4.57 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.94 runs per game. 

The offense is ranked 12th while the pitching is ranked 4th. Getting the start for the Astros will be Spencer Arrigheti who sits with a 7-11 record and an ERA of 4.63. Over his last two starts, he has gone 13.2 innings, giving up five hits and zero runs. In his last start against the Philadelphia Phillies, he went 7.2 innings and gave up two hits and zero runs. 

Why the Astros Will Beat the Reds

  • The Astros have won nine of their last 10 night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Reds have lost 10 of their last 12 home games against American League opponents.
  • The Astros have covered the run line each of their last four night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Can the Reds Build on the Last Game

The Reds scored five runs on Monday and they are going to look to build on that here. Third baseman Santiago Espinal had a strong game finishing with two hits and two RBIs. It was mostly a bullpen game so they had to feel good about getting the day off in between. The Reds are averaging 4.47 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.38 runs per game. 

The offense is ranked 15th in the league while the pitching is ranked 15th in baseball. Getting the start for the Reds will be Nick Martinez who sits with a 6-6 record and an ERA of 3.38. In his last start against the Milwaukee Brewers, he went 5.1 innings giving up seven hits and four runs. 

Houston Astros vs Cincinnati Reds PRediction

The Astros lost on Monday but this game is going to be a whole lot different. Arrigheti has been dominant heading into this game and he’s going to continue that success here. The Reds offense is averaging 4.47 runs per game and they are going to really struggle to get the offense going here. The Astros will give him some run support off of Martinez and the Astros will get the job done. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Astros ML

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