Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction MLB Picks 8/29/24

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 50-84 this year and they have won three of their last five games. Colorado has won games one and three in the series by scores of 3-2 and 8-2. Prior to this series, the Rockies lost two out of three against the Yankees, lost two out of three against the Nationals, and won two out of three against the Padres. Colorado is 5-6 in their last 11 games and they are last in the NL West 

The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.50 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP, and a .286 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 572 runs with a .244 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .244 with 17 home runs and 58 RBI’s for the Rockies this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Valente Bellozo, who is 2-2 with a 3.35 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 37.2 innings pitched this year. Bellozo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Bradley Blalock, who is 1-0 with a 3.06 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 17.2 innings pitched this season. Blalock has allowed six earned runs in three starts (16.2 IP) since coming over from Milwaukee.

Why the Rockies will beat the Marlins

• The Rockies have won each of their last 12 Thursday day games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have lost 13 of their last 16 games at Coors Field.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Thursday-day games against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in six of their last seven-day games against NL East opponents following a win.

Why the Marlins will beat the Rockies

• The Rockies have lost 14 of their last 15 home games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Marlins have won three of their last four games as road underdogs against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last four-day games against NL West opponents following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Marlins' last 10 road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Rockies' last five-day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last six Thursday games.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Ezequiel Tovar has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Ezequiel Tovar has recorded two or more RBIs in each of his last four appearances at Coors Field against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brenton Doyle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents.
• Brenton Doyle has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances at Coors Field against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Brenton Doyle has scored a run in each of the Rockies' last five-day games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in five of his six previous appearances against the Rockies at Coors Field.
• Jake Burger has hit at least one home run in three of his four previous Thursday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins' last 10 games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Marlins' last 10 games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins' last 10 games as underdogs against NL West opponents.

Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 

Colorado was able to pick up the win in game three of this series on Wednesday night and they will go for the series win here. The Rockies continue to play decently well at home, going 31-34. The Marlins are 23-41 on the road and they are the second lowest scoring team in the MLB this season.

Miami is starting Bellozo, who has pitched very well in his last three road starts. Colorado is turning to Bradley Blalock, who has been pretty strong in three outings since coming over from Milwaukee. I know we are at Coors Field, but I think we could see a lower-scoring game with these pitchers on the mound. Give me the under here.