Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB Picks 8/11/24

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 58-58 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Tampa Bay has dropped the first two games in this series and they have allowed 11 runs in the process. Prior to this series, the Rays lost two out of three against the Cardinals, won two out of three against the Astros, and split two games with the Marlins. Tampa Bay is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are fourth in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 457 runs with a .234 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Yandy Diaz is batting .270 with 10 home runs and 51 RBI’s for the Rays this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Albert Suarez, who is 5-4 with a 3.66 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 83.2 innings pitched this year. Suarez has allowed three earned runs or more in four of his last five outings. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Jeffrey Springs, who is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA and a 1.85 WHIP over 8.2 innings pitched this season. Springs has allowed six earned runs and 12 hits in two starts against Miami and St. Louis. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Rays

• The Orioles have won each of their last eight road games against the Rays.
• The Rays have lost each of their last five games against the Orioles following a home loss.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games against the Rays.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against the Orioles at Tropicana Field following a loss.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against American League opponents.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five home games.
• The Orioles have won the first inning in each of their last three games at Tropicana Field.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Orioles' last 10 road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Rays' last five games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rays' last four home games.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last four road games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Jose Siri has hit a home run in two of the Rays' last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jose Siri has recorded a hit in each of his last nine Sunday day appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in six of the Rays' last seven games against the Orioles at Tropicana Field.
• Dylan Carlson has scored a run in three of his four previous appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Colton Cowser has hit a home run in two of the Orioles' last three road games against AL East opponents.
• Ryan O'Hearn has recorded an RBI in each of the Orioles' last four day games.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Eloy Jimenez has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances against AL East opponents.
• Colton Cowser has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles' last six day games.

Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 

Baltimore was able to come up with a nice win on Saturday in this series and they will look to make it three in a row over the Rays with a win here. The Orioles are locked into a battle with the Yankees in the AL East, so every game is very important. Baltimore is 36-23 on the road this season, while Tampa Bay is 30-31 at home. The Rays are towards the bottom of the division standings and their offense continues to be a big problem. I don’t love either of these starting pitchers, but at least Suarez pitched well in his last outing against Toronto. My Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction is for the Orioles to win.