Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks Prediction 10/25/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

The Kansas City Chiefs and the Seattle Seahawks meet Sunday in NFL action from Lumen Field in Seattle. Here’s a Chiefs vs Seahawks prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Chiefs vs Seahawks pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

The Chiefs went into their (very early) bye week this year with a very nice record (and a couple of close finishes). Kansas City took out the Denver Broncos in their opener, then beat the Indianapolis Colts in overtime for week two. The Chiefs would then take road wins over the Miami Dolphins and the Las Vegas Raiders for a perfect 4-0 start to the year.

In game five versus the Los Angeles Chargers, the Chiefs were up 9-3 by the end of the first quarter and 19-3 by halftime. Kansas City put it in cruise control the rest of the way and finished off the game with a 22-6 victory. QB Patrick Mahomes was 23-of-30 for 272 yards and a pick. Xavier Worthy led the receivers on seven catches for 73 yards in the victory effort.

Seattle Seahawks Betting Preview

Over on the Seahawks’ side, they’ve only been able to muster a .500 record so far this year. Seattle kicked off the season on a nice run, winning three of their first four games versus the Patriots, Cardinals and Chargers alongside a lone loss to the Commanders. Since then it’s been consecutive losses versus the 49ers and Broncos for a 3-3 start to the year.

In last Thursday’s matchup versus Denver, the Seahawks were in trouble at the break with a 14-3 deficit. Seattle was able to come back with 11 points in the final quarter however, and forced overtime. In the end though, it was a 17-14 loss. QB Sam Darnold was 27-of-51 for 278 yards and two picks. Jaxon Smith Njigba caught 12 balls for 134 yards in the defeat.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks Betting Trends: Week 7

Why the Seattle Seahawks will win

• Reigning Super Bowl champions have won each of their last six Week 7 games.
• The Chiefs have lost each of their last four games without Patrick Mahomes.
• The Seahawks have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games without Patrick Mahomes.
• The Chiefs have lost the first quarter in four of their last five road games against NFC West opponents.
• The Chiefs have lost the first half in three of their last four Sunday road games.

Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win

• The Chiefs have won each of their last nine October games against NFC opponents.
• The Seahawks have lost three of their last four games as favorites without Zach Charbonnet.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread in each of their last six October road games against NFC opponents.
• The Seahawks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites against AFC West opponents.
• The Seahawks have lost the first quarter in three of their last four Sunday night games at Lumen Field.
• The Chiefs have won the first half in each of their last four games against the Seahawks following a win.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Seahawks’ last eight home games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Chiefs’ last five games without Patrick Mahomes have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the last six Sunday night games have gone OVER the total points line.

Seattle Seahawks Player Prop Facts

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Seahawks’ last seven games at Lumen Field against teams on a winning streak.
• Sam Darnold has recorded 240+ passing yards in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite following a loss.
• Cooper Kupp has recorded 26+ receiving yards in 23 of his last 24 appearances in night games.
• Zach Charbonnet has recorded 46+ rushing yards in three of his last four Sunday appearances with the Seahawks as favorites.
• Cooper Kupp has recorded 26+ rushing and receiving yards in 23 of his last 24 appearances in night games.
• Zach Charbonnet has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four appearances.
• Sam Darnold has recorded 21+ completions in three of the Seahawks’ last four night games.
• Heading into Week 7, Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks 1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (7) this season.

Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts

• Kenneth Walker III has scored two touchdowns in each of the Chiefs’ last three games.
• Patrick Mahomes has recorded 225+ passing yards in each of the Chiefs’ last seven October games.
• Kenneth Walker III has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four October appearances with his team as a road underdog.
• Travis Kelce has recorded 61+ receiving yards in 10 of the Chiefs’ last 11 games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• Patrick Mahomes has recorded 17+ rushing yards in each of his last six appearances in night games.
• Rashee Rice has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Chiefs’ last five games following a home win.
• Patrick Mahomes has recorded 21+ completions in each of his 14 previous appearances in regular season night games against NFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 7, Kenneth Walker III ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (6.3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 7, the Seahawks rank 32nd in the NFL in average yards per punt (43.7) this season.
• Heading into Week 7, the Seahawks rank 32nd in the NFL in 4th down percentage against (100.0%) this season.
• Heading into Week 7, the Chiefs rank 1st in the NFL in average yards per punt (52.4) this season.
• Heading into Week 7, the Chiefs rank T1st in the NFL in Q1 points per game (8.0) this season.

Chiefs vs Seahawks Prediction

I’ll take a stab on the Seahawks but you could certainly argue this one either way. Seattle does need to bounce back from a rough OT loss to Denver, though. The Seahawks had three turnovers (two picks) and seven penalties for 75 yards in that one, but looking at the defensive stats you’d assume they won. Seattle gave up just 168 total yards and 13 first downs in the defeat. The Seahawks’ three losses this year have come by a combined eight points.

As for the Chiefs, they did a lot of movement on offense (22 first downs; 422 total yards) but also posted a tepid 3-of-10 on third downs and had a couple turnovers in their win over the Chargers. KC got a good defensive effort though, with two takeaways alongside 15 first downs and 259 total yards allowed. The Chiefs continue to roll along, and they’ve scored 30 or more points in three of their five games this year.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Seattle Seahawks -2.5