Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 8/8/24

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Atlanta Braves meet Thursday in MLB action from Truist Park. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Braves vs Brewers pick. We will examine:

The Milwaukee Brewers recent form and player performance

The Atlanta Braves recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Milwaukee Brewers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Braves

Recent betting trends in games played between the Brewers and Braves

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Brewers vs Braves game

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

In their last series the Brewers took on the Washington Nationals. Milwaukee took a win in the Friday matchup 8-3 but lost both weekend games for a series loss. After a 10-0 blowout win over the Braves in the opener, in game two the Brewers powered out an 8-5 win. Freddy Peralta lasted 5.0 innings with four earned runs in the start.

STarter for the finale will be Milwaukee’s Frankie Montas. This year Montas is 5-8 with a 5.03 ERA in 20 starts. Over 150 career games (119 starts) Montas is 42-43 with a 4.06 ERA.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

Over on the Braves’ side, they played the Miami Marlins in their last set. Atlanta won the first two games 4-2 and 5-3 then lost both weekend games to tie the series. On Wednesday the Braves gave up 16 hits in the loss. Starter Chris Sale lasted 4.2 frames with three earned.

Charlie Morton will finish things up for the Braves as starter Thursday. This year Morton is 6-6 with a 3.94 ERA in 20 starts. Over 373 career games (372 starts) Morton is 136-119 with a 4.00 ERA.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Brewers and Braves at Truist Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Ten of the Brewers’ last 12 games as underdogs against the Braves have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six day games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in each of the Braves’ last three day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his 12 previous appearances against the Brewers at Truist Park.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 appearances against the Brewers at Truist Park.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents at Truist Park.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against the Brewers at Truist Park.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in 17 of his last 19 home appearances against NL opponents.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games.
• Marcell Ozuna ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.575) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• William Contreras has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents at Truist Park.
• Jackson Chourio has scored a run in each of the Brewers’ last six games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Frankie Montas has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last seven road games against NL opponents.
• Christian Yelich has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one total base in each of the Brewers’ last 12 games against NL opponents.
• Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 12 games against NL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (430).
• The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.57).
• The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (420).
• The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (450).

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I’ll stay with the Braves probably. Morton had a rough outing versus the Mets late last month with five earned in 2.2 innings. In the other two of his last three starts however, Morton is 1-0 with 12.0 innings and no earned. As for Montas, he’s got 14 earned runs in his last 14.0 innings total.

On Wednesday the Braves held a 4-3 lead going into the sixth inning but couldn’t keep up in a wild game. The pitching was pretty rough across the board; that said, the offense came through well. Everyone but Sean Murphy (0-for-4) had at least one hit. I like the Braves to bounce back Thursday if Morton starts well.