Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction MLB Picks 8/8/24

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 43-72 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Miami lost the first two games in this series, but they did win game three by a score of 6-4. Prior to this series, the Marlins split four games with the Braves, split two games with the Rays, and won two out of three against the Brewers. Miami is 4-6 in their last ten games and they are last in the NL East. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 419 runs with a .238 batting average and a .292 on base percentage. Jake Burger is batting .239 with 19 home runs and 49 RBI’s for the Marlins this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Hunter Greene, who is 8-4 with a 2.83 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 130.1 innings pitched this year. Greene has allowed zero earned runs in his last three starts (20 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Kyle Tyler, who is 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP over 27.1 innings pitched this season. Tyler has allowed three earned runs or more in three straight starts. 

Why the Reds will beat the Marlins

• The Reds have won eight of their last nine night games against the Marlins following a loss.
• The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 night games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Marlins following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins' last seven home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Reds' last eight night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last five Thursday games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Cristian Pache has recorded a Single in three of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Jake Burger has recorded two or more total bases in five of his last seven appearances against the Reds.
• Jake Burger has hit at least one home run in three of the Marlins' last five night games.
• Jesus Sanchez has scored at least one run in each of the Marlins' last five games against NL Central opponents at LoanDepot Park.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins' last six Thursday games against opponents that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in five of his six previous appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one Double in four of the Reds' last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Jake Fraley has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Hunter Greene has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents.
• Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in each of the Reds' last four night games.
• Ty France has hit a home run in two of the Reds' last three games against the Marlins.
• Jake Fraley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction 

Cincinnati was able to pick up two wins to start the series, but they dropped game three and need to win this game to win the series. The Reds are 27-28 on the road, while the Marlins are 23-36 at home. Miami has been one of the lowest scoring teams in the MLB this season and they have to face Hunter Greene, who has been dominant in his last three outings. I expect Greene to have another great outing against this below average lineup and my Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins prediction is for Cincinnati to win by at least two runs.