San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB Picks 8/7/24

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 56-56 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. Pittsburgh dropped the first game in this series on Monday, where they were shutout. Prior to this series, the Pirates lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Astros, and lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Pittsburgh is 4-6 in their last ten games and they are third in the NL Central.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 468 runs with a .233 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .286 with 19 home runs and 66 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Michael King, who is 9-6 with a 3.26 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 124.1 innings pitched this year. King has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Marco Gonzales, who is 1-1 with a 3.72 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 29.0 innings pitched this year. Gonzales has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Padres will beat the Pirates

• The Padres have won nine of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
• The Pirates have lost five of their last six night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last eight Wednesday road games against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against NL West opponents following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Padres' last 12 night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Pirates' last five games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Padres' last five games.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Pirates' last seven Wednesday games at PNC Park.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against NL West opponents.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates' last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
• Marco Gonzales has recorded three or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 14 home appearances.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 Wednesday night appearances at PNC Park.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 Wednesday night appearances with the Pirates at PNC Park.
• Jack Suwinski has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Padres at PNC Park.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Jurickson Profar has recorded a Double in each of the Padres' last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Padres' last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Xander Bogaerts has scored at least one run in six of the Padres' last seven road games.
• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 Wednesday appearances.
• Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Pirates.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances with the Padres as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in four of his last nine appearances with the Padres as favorites.

San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 

San Diego was able to grab the win in game one of this series on Tuesday night and they continue to be red hot. The Padres are putting a ton of pressure on the Diamondbacks and the Dodgers in the NL West, and they are 31-23 on the road. Pittsburgh is 27-28 at home this year, but they have also played well over the last few weeks. Both of these starting pitchers have had success this year, but Michael King has been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the last few weeks. My San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction is for the Padres to get the win.