Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 8/7/24

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 56-60 this year and they have alternated wins and losses over their last five games. Chicago was shutout in game one of this series, but they won game two by a score of 7-3. Prior to this series, the Cubs won three out of four against the Cardinals, lost two out of three against the Reds, and won two out of three against the Royals. Chicago is 5-2 in their last seven games and they are last in the NL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 485 runs with a .234 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Ian Happ is batting .227 with 17 home runs and 62 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 7-7 with a 3.59 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 133.0 innings pitched this year. Ryan has allowed two earned runs in each of his last two starts. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Javier Assad, who is 5-3 with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 98.2 innings pitched this season. Assad has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last five outings. 

Why the Cubs will beat the Twins

• The Cubs have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Twins have lost each of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a loss.

Why the Twins will beat the Cubs

• The Twins have won each of their last six day games following a road loss.
• The Cubs have lost six of their last seven day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Cubs' last 11 day games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Twins' last five day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last six games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cubs' last three games as underdogs.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Cubs as underdogs.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in 15 of his last 16 appearances with the Cubs as underdogs.
• Seiya Suzuki has scored a run in each of his last four appearances with the Cubs as underdogs.
• Patrick Wisdom has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Mike Tauchman has recorded an RBI in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Cubs as underdogs.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
• Willi Castro has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances with the Twins as favorites.
• Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances with the Twins as favorites against NL opponents.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Twins as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Max Kepler has recorded a hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Twins as favorites.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 

Chicago comes into this game after picking up a nice win on Tuesday night and they have been their best at home this year, going 31-27 at Wrigley Field. Minnesota is 31-28 on the road this season and they have played very well in recent weeks, which has brought them closer to Cleveland in the AL Central. The Twins are starting Joe Ryan, who pitched well in his last two starts against Detroit and the White Sox, but he had a few poor outings before that. The Cubs are going with Javier Assad, who has been inconsistent this year and has an elevated WHIP. I think we are going to see some runs in this game with this pitching matchup, so my Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs prediction is for this game to go over the total.