Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 8/7/24

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 60-52 this season and they have lost three games in a row. Atlanta lost the first game in this series on Tuesday night, where they couldn’t even manage one run. Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Marlins, won two out of three against the Brewers, and split four games with the Mets. Atlanta is 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are second in the NL East. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.54 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 467 runs with a .238 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .297 with 32 home runs and 86 RBI’s for the Braves this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who is 6-6 with a 3.89 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 120.1 innings pitched this year. Peralta has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Chris Sale, who is 13-3 with a 2.71 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 123.0 innings pitched this season. Sale has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. 

Why the Braves will beat the Brewers

• The Brewers have lost each of their last four games after playing the previous day.
• The Braves have won five of their last six home games against the Brewers.
• The Braves have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against the Brewers following a loss.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games following a road win.

Total Runs Facts

• Sixteen of the Braves' last 17 home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Ten of the Brewers' last 12 games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Brewers' last three road games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in three of the Braves' last four games against the Brewers at Truist Park.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents at Truist Park.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 home appearances against the Brewers.
• Chris Sale has recorded a win in eight of his nine previous appearances at Truist Park.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 home appearances against the Brewers.
• Chris Sale has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight Wednesday appearances with the Braves as favorites.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his 12 previous appearances against the Brewers at Truist Park.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers' last six road games against NL opponents.
• Rhys Hoskins has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against the Braves.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• William Contreras has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents at Truist Park.
• Christian Yelich has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against NL East opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 

Milwaukee was able to cruise to the easy shutout victory in game one of this series on Tuesday night, but they don’t play their best baseball on the road. The Brewers have been up and down recently and they have a tough matchup here. Atlanta is 32-24 at home this season and they are starting Chris Sale, who has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this year. The Braves offense is not what we are used to seeing, but I can’t go against Sale right now. My Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves prediction is for the Braves to win.