Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction MLB Picks 8/7/24

Miami Marlins (42-70) vs Cincinnati Reds (53-58)

Game Info: Wednesday, August 7, 2024 at 6:40 pm (loanDepot park)

Valente Bellozo (0-1) (4.20) vs Andrew Abbott (9-8) (3.41)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins / Cincinnati Reds --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Cincinnati Reds and Miami Marlins meet Wednesday in MLB game 3 action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Pick.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 55-58 on the year after playing the Cubs and Gints. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 20 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Cincinnati Reds have won 7 of their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 113 hits and 50 RBI, while Jonathan India and Spencer Steer have combined for 188 hits and 107 RBI.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 42-72 on the year after playing the Rays and Braves. The Miami Marlins have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Miami Marlins have lost 7 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jake Burger leads the Miami Marlins with 83 hits and 47 RBI, while Jesus Sanchez and Nick Gordon have combined for 140 hits and 74 RBI.

Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Pitching Pick Matchup

Andrew Abbott gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 9-8 with a 3.41 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. Abbott has allowed 15 hits and 6 runs in his last 8.1 innings. Abbott has a 3.28 ERA and .222 allowed batting average in 68.2 road innings. This will be Abbott’s second career game against the Miami Marlins.

Valente Bellozo gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 0-1 with a 4.20 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. Bellozo has allowed 11 hits and 7 runs in 15 innings this season. This will be Bellozo’s fourth career MLB start. This will be Bellozo’s first career game against the Cincinnati Reds.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will Beat the Marlins

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last six night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The road team has won each of the Marlins' last four games.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games following a road win.
  • The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins' last four home games against NL Central opponents.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Marlins' last five games against NL Central opponents at LoanDepot Park.
  • Jesus Sanchez has scored at least one run in each of the Marlins' last four home games against NL Central opponents.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded two or more total bases in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Elly De La Cruz has hit at least one home run in three of the Reds' last four games as favorites against the Marlins.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one Double in each of the Reds' last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds' last four games against the Marlins.
  • Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds' last four games against the Marlins.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his 13 previous appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Reds as favorites against NL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for RBI's this season (401).
  • The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.363).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 28th in the league for batting average this season (.230).
  • The Cincinnati Reds are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.

Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Cincinnati Reds have been in complete control of this series, and these are games they need to keep taking advantage of to give themselves a shot at getting in the playoff race. The Miami Marlins traded away half of their offense and Valente Bellozo and his limited sample size doesn't inspire confidence. For me, there's only one way to go in this spot. As long as the price is reasonable, give me the Reds to get another victory in Miami.

Randy’s Pick Cincinnati Reds

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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