Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 8/6/24

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 60-51 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Atlanta is coming off of a series split with Miami, where they won two games and lost two games. Prior to that series, the Braves won two out of three against the Brewers, split four games with the Mets, and lost both games against the Reds. Atlanta is 6-3 in their last nine games and they are second in the NL East. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 467 runs with a .239 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .300 with 32 home runs and 86 RBI’s for the Braves this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Colin Rea, who is 9-3 with a 3.59 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 115.1 innings pitched this year. Rea has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. Rea allowed two earned runs over 5.1 innings against Atlanta in his last start. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 2-4 with a 5.67 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP over 46.0 innings pitched this season. Elder has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five starts, but did allow just one earned run over 6.1 innings against Milwaukee last time out. 

Why the Brewers will beat the Braves

• The Braves have lost each of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Brewers have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in four of their last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves' last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Brewers' last 11 games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Brewers' last four night games against National League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in each of the Braves' last three games against the Brewers at Truist Park.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves' last 16 home games against the Brewers.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his 12 previous appearances against the Brewers at Truist Park.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents at Truist Park.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last 16 home games against the Brewers.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in 17 of his last 19 appearances against NL opponents at Truist Park.
• Marcell Ozuna ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.580) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• William Contreras has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents at Truist Park.
• William Contreras has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last four appearances at Truist Park.
• William Contreras has recorded a Single in each of the Brewers' last nine Tuesday night games as underdogs.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded a hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Christian Yelich has hit a home run in each of the Brewers' last two road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Blake Perkins has scored a run in each of his last four appearances with the Brewers as road underdogs.
• Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.48).
• The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1018).
• The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (407).
• The Milwaukee Brewers are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 

Atlanta comes into this series after losing their last two games against Miami over the weekend, but they are playing very well right now and they are trying to close the gap on the Phillies in the NL East. The Braves are 32-23 at home this year, while the Brewers are 31-28 on the road. Milwaukee isn’t playing their best ball right now and their pitching has let them down recently. Both of these pitchers had solid outings against these teams in their last outing, but I think the Brewers have some value here. Elder has not been very good this season, so I don’t think he can give two solid starts against this Milwaukee lineup. My Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves prediction is for the Brewers to get the win.