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Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 8/2/24
Pick details
Cleveland Guardians (65-42) vs Baltimore Orioles (65-44)
August 2, 2024 at 07:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians +110 / Baltimore Orioles -130 — Over/Under: 9
The Cleveland Guardians and the Baltimore Orioles meet Friday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Cleveland Guardians will trot out Carlos Carrasco for this one and Carrasco is 3-9 with a 5.68 ERA and 79 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Baltimore, Carrasco is 3-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 29 strikeouts. Dean Kremer will get the nod for the Orioles here and is 4-7 with a 4.20 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season. In his career, Kremer is 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA and 8 strikeouts against the Guardians.
Cleveland Guardians Recap
The Cleveland Guardians will try to build some steam after pummeling the Orioles to start the series on Thursday thanks to a 10-3 win. The win put the Guardians in a good position for another series win after knocking off the Tigers and Phillies over the last week.
Guardians Leading The Way In AL Central
Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 116 hits as well as 28 home runs and 90 RBIs while Josh Naylor also has 23 home runs and 75 RBIs along with 17 doubles of his own. Ramirez has a team-high 23 doubles while Tyler Freeman has 14 doubles and Andres Gimenez has 45 RBIs with 16 stolen bases while the aforementioned Ramirez has a team-high 20 stolen bases on the year. Steven Kwan is also hitting .333 with 111 hits and 14 doubles this season.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have lost five of their last nine games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a road loss.
Baltimore Orioles Recap
The Baltimore Orioles will be out to bounce back after a disappointing start to the series thanks to their loss in Thursday’s opener. The loss put the Orioles in a tough spot early when it comes to following up on their series victory over the Blue Jays from earlier in the week.
Orioles Trying To Create Space Atop AL East
Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 123 hits, 28 home runs, along with 66 RBIs and 6 triples but also has a team-high 112 strikeouts in addition to 14 stolen bases. Adley Rutschman has 105 hits with 17 home runs and 62 RBIs in addition to 13 doubles while Anthony Santander has 17 doubles with 32 home runs and 74 RBIs and Colton Cowser has 16 doubles and Ryan Mountcastle has 23 doubles and Jordan Westburg has a team-high 25 doubles. Cedric Mullins has also contributed a team-high 19 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Guardians have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Orioles have won six of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games after playing the previous day.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last five games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
Guardians vs. Orioles Prediction
I’m on the Orioles here. I just think that between the two lineups, the Orioles have been doing a far better job of hitting against right-handed pitching since the all-star break and I don’t trust Carlos Carrasco worth a lick. Dean Kremer hasn’t been a whole lot better, but he wasn’t great last year with an ERA over four, but he was profitable on the year because the Orioles’ offense was able to lift him up and I think the Orioles’ lineup might even be better this time around. Give me Baltimore here to even up the series.