Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 7/28/24

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Milwaukee Brewers (59-44) vs Miami Marlins (38-66)

July 28, 2024 at 02:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -200 / Miami Marlins +167 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and Milwaukee Brewers meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at American Family Field. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction. This article will include a Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 39-66 on the year and play the Rays and Braves next. The Miami Marlins have scored 19 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 straight games. The Miami Marlins have won 6 of their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Bryan De La Cruz leads the Miami Marlins with 102 hits and 50 RBI, while Josh Bell and Jesus Sanchez have combined for 169 hits and 82 RBI.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 59-45 on the year and play the Braves and Nationals next. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight games. The Milwaukee Brewers have lost 3 of their last 5 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 117 hits and 57 RBI, while Willy Adames and Brice Turang have combined for 194 hits and 111 RBI.

Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Pick Matchup

Kyle Tyler gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 0-1 with a 3.92 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. Tyler has allowed 12 hits and 5 runs in his last 10 innings. Tyler has a 1.93 ERA and .235 allowed batting average in 4.2 road innings. This will be Tyler’s first career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Tobias Myers gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 6-4 with a 3.14 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. Myers has allowed 18 hits and 6 earned runs in his last 19.1 innings. Myers has a 3.78 ERA and .236 allowed batting average in 33.1 home innings. This will be Myers’ second career game against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will Beat the Marlins

  • The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine road games following a win.
  • The Brewers have won 13 of their last 15 day games at American Family Field following a loss.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against the Marlins at American Family Field following a loss.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last eight day games against the Brewers following a win.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two games as home favorites.
  • Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
  • Rhys Hoskins has scored a run in each of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • William Contreras has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Brewers’ last four games as favorites.
  • Sal Frelick has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 10 Sunday day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Bell has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Bell has scored a run in each of the Marlins’ last six games as underdogs.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Marlins’ last nine road games.
  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last nine Sunday day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Marlins’ last 11 Sunday day games against opponents that held a winning record.

Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

You can argue the Miami Marlins and a chance to make two times your money based on how this series has played out. Kyle Tyler has also been respectable in a limited sample size. With that said, the Brewers are comfortably the better team, and it’s hard seeing them get swept at home to a bad Marlins team that’s now trading their best players. There are no excuses for the Brewers to get swept. Give me the Brewers and the RL for max betting value.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

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