Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB Picks 7/20/24

Seattle Mariners (52-46) vs Houston Astros (50-46)

Game Info: Saturday, July 20, 2024 at 9:40 pm (T-Mobile Park)

George Kirby (7-7) (3.14) vs Framber Valdez (8-5) (3.94)

Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -110 / Houston Astros +100 --- Over/Under: 7 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at T-Mobile Park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction. This article will include a Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Pick.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 51-46 on the year after playing the Marlins and Rangers. The Houston Astros have scored 6 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The Houston Astros have lost 4 of their last 5 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 119 hits and 44 RBI, while Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Pena have combined for 202 hits and 93 RBI.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 52-47 on the year after playing the Padres and Angels. The Seattle Mariners have scored 3 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Seattle Mariners have lost 3 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 100 hits and 35 RBI, while Cal Raleigh and Ty France have combined for 135 hits and 92 RBI.

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Pick Matchup

Framber Valdez gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 8-5 with a 3.66 ERA and 82 strikeouts this season. Valdez has allowed 15 hits and 4 runs in his last 13 innings. Valdez has a 3.97 ERA and .268 allowed batting average in 47.2 road innings. Valdez is 5-3 with a 3.49 ERA and 78 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

George Kirby gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 7-7 with a 3.29 ERA and 116 strikeouts this season. Kirby has allowed 17 hits and 6 earned runs in his last 18.1 innings. Kirby has a 2.63 ERA and .221 allowed batting average in 54.2 home innings. Kirby is 2-0 with a 1.57 ERA and 25 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Why the Houston Astros will Beat the Mariners

  • The Mariners have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The underdogs have won each of the Mariners' last four games.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Mariners' last seven games at T-Mobile Park.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Saturday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in two of the Mariners' last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • George Kirby has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in four of the Mariners' last five games.
  • George Kirby has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Mariners as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six Saturday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
  • Mitch Haniger has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL West opponents at T-Mobile Park.
  • Mitch Haniger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six home appearances against the Astros.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Altuve has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Astros as road underdogs.
  • Framber Valdez has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Astros as underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • Framber Valdez has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Astros as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • Yordan Alvarez has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded two or more total bases in nine of his last 12 road appearances against the Mariners after playing the previous day.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Single in 14 of his last 15 road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros' last 12 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Victor Caratini has hit a home run in each of his two previous appearances with the Astros as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • Yordan Alvarez ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.529) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.218).
  • The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1021).
  • The Houston Astros rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (677).
  • The Houston Astros rank 27th in the league for walks allowed this season (352).

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

George Kirby has been the sharper pitcher than Framber Valdez this season, but the gap hasn't been that large. The bottom line is the Astros are playing their best ball of the season, and they're back in the thick of the AL West race. The Seattle Mariners have been playing with their food lately and at this point you have to give the edge to the Astros, a championship roster that knows how to take over this time of year. The fact we're getting the Astros and the more favorable price, it's tough to turn down. Give me the Astros. 

Randy’s Pick Houston Astros +100

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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