San Diego Padres (49-48) vs Atlanta Braves (52-41)
Game Info: Sunday, July 14, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Petco Park)
Randy Vasquez (2-4) (4.66) vs Chris Sale (12-3) (2.74)
Betting Odds: San Diego Padres +160 / Atlanta Braves -175 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: Bally Sports Southeast, San Diego Padres Stream the MLB Game of the Day all season on ESPN+. Sign up now!
The Atlanta Braves and the San Diego Padres meet Saturday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Atlanta Braves will send out Chris Sale for the start here and Sale is 12-3 with a 2.74 ERA and 136 strikeouts this season. In his career, Sale is 3-0 with a 1.17 ERA and 26 strikeouts against San Diego. The San Diego Padres will start Randy Vasquez here and Vasquez is 2-4 with a 4.66 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. In his career, Vasquez is 0-2 with a 4.82 ERA and 5 strikeouts against the Braves.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves come into this one looking to bounce back and win the rubber match of the series after a 4-0 loss to San Diego on Saturday evened the series up at one win apiece. The loss put the Braves’ series unbeaten run in jeopardy after a split with the Diamondbacks to start the week followed up last weekend’s series win against the Phillies.
Braves Trying To Claw Back In NL East
Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 106 hits including 26 home runs and 77 RBIs while Orlando Arcia has 18 doubles and Ozzie Albies has a team-high 26 doubles, logging 88 hits as well this season. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a team-high 16 stolen bases as well this season but is out for the season with a torn ACL. Matt Olson has 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 43 RBIs with a team-high 107 strikeouts and Austin Riley has 20 doubles with a pair of triples.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last four home games against the Braves following a win.
- The Braves have won five of their last six day games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against the Braves following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres will try to win the series after tying the series up with Saturday’s victory. The series win would be a welcome sight for the Padres after series losses to the Mariners and Diamondbacks over the last week.
Padres Trying To Keep Pace In NL Wild Card Hunt
Jurickson Profar has 101 hits along with a .303 batting average and 16 doubles with 14 homers and 59 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 55 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted a team-high 14 home runs, 86 hits, 71 strikeouts and 8 stolen bases as well this season, but is out of the lineup because of injury. Manny Machado has 13 home runs and 52 RBIs but also has 78 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 72 hits with 3 triples, 12 doubles, 10 home runs, 40 RBIs and a team-high 17 stolen bases.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have lost five of their last six games as road favorites following a loss.
- The Padres have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction
I’m on the Braves here. Chris Sale has been one of the best lefties in baseball and best pitchers overall in baseball as a matter of fact, and he’s had a ton of success in his career against the Padres, who have had their fair share of struggles against lefties as well this season. I’m just not a Randy Vasquez fan and he’s been hit hard by the Braves already this year. We saw this matchup between Sale and Vasquez earlier this season and it was a 3-0 Braves win. I think we see something similar here. Give me Atlanta.
Chris’s Pick Atlanta -175
AUTHOR: Chris Ruffolo
Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg