Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction MLB Picks 7/13/24

Astros Continue to Score Plenty of Runs 

The Houston Astros are 50-44 this year and they have won four games in a row. Houston won the first game in this series by a score of 6-3 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Astros swept the Marlins in three games, lost two out of three against the Twins, and won three out of four against the Blue Jays. Houston is 7-2 in their last nine games and they are second in the AL West. 

The Houston pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 454 runs with a .263 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Alex Bregman is batting .257 with 12 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Astros this season. Houston has scored at least six runs in three straight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Nathan Eovaldi, who is 6-3 with a 3.10 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 87.0 innings pitched this year. Eovaldi has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Spencer Arrighetti, who is 4-7 with a 5.96 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP over 74.0 innings pitched this season. Arrighetti has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his last three starts. 

Why the Rangers will beat the Astros

• The favorites have won each of the Astros' last seven games at Minute Maid Park.
• The Astros have lost each of their last three day games against AL West opponents following a win.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home underdogs against AL West opponents following a home win.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in six of their last seven games at Minute Maid Park against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the last nine games between the Rangers and Astros at Minute Maid Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Rangers' last six road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last three day games between the Rangers and Astros at Minute Maid Park.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Alex Bregman has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against the Rangers.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Astros' last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Alex Bregman has scored at least one run in each of the Astros' last seven games at Minute Maid Park.
• Yordan Alvarez has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Astros' last eight games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Chas McCormick has recorded a Single in each of his last five appearances against the Rangers at Minute Maid Park.
• Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros' last eight games as underdogs against the Rangers.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Corey Seager has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Rangers' last nine games at Minute Maid Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Nathan Eovaldi has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Nathan Eovaldi has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of the Rangers' last two games at Minute Maid Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against the Astros after playing the previous day.
• Corey Seager has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games.
• Marcus Semien has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances.

Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction 

Houston comes into this matchup playing very well over the last few weeks and they are closing in on the Mariners for first in the AL West. The Astros have been a pretty solid home team this year, while the Rangers have struggled on the road. Texas is starting to play better, but they are still a ways below .500 on the year. The Rangers are starting Eovaldi, who has been a little inconsistent, but has mostly been good this year. The Astros are going with Arrighetti, who has a 1.66 WHIP and I don’t trust him. I know Houston has been solid at home, but I can’t back Arrighetti here. My Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros prediction is for the Rangers to win.