LA Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers Prediction MLB Picks 7/12/24

Tigers are Red Hot 

The Detroit Tigers are 45-49 this year and they have won six of their last seven games. Detroit is coming off of a series win against Cleveland, where they won three out of four games. Prior to this series, the Tigers swept the Reds in three games, lost two out of three against the Twins, and lost three out of four against the Angels. Detroit is 8-3 in their last 11 games and they are fourth in the AL Central. 

The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 395 runs with a .231 batting average and a .297 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .266 with 17 home runs and 48 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit has scored at least five runs in six of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is James Paxton, who is 7-2 with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 80.2 innings pitched this year. Paxton has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 10-3 with a 2.37 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP over 110.0 innings pitched this season. Skubal has allowed one earned run or fewer in two of his last three starts. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Dodgers

• The Dodgers have lost each of their last four road games.
• The Tigers have won six of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Dodgers' last four road games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Tigers' last three games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Tigers' last three home games.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Riley Greene has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight home appearances against NL West opponents.
• Matt Vierling has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances at Comerica Park.
• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances.
• Riley Greene has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against NL West opponents.
• Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against NL West opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Miguel Rojas has recorded a Double in three of the Dodgers' last four games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Mookie Betts has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• James Paxton has recorded five or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 16 road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in four of the Dodgers' last five games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Mookie Betts has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances at Comerica Park.
• Shohei Ohtani has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Dodgers' last eight games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Mookie Betts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.

LA Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 

Detroit comes into this matchup four games below .500, but they have won six of their last seven games. The Tigers are 22-23 at home, while the Dodgers are 27-20 on the road. Los Angeles is leading the NL West, but they have not played very well over the last two weeks. The Dodgers are starting Paxton, who has been pretty good this season, but he did allow nine earned runs two starts ago. Detroit is going with Skubal, who has been one of the best pitchers in the MLB this season. The Tigers offense is finally producing and I am not going against Skubal. My LA Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers prediction is for Detroit to win game one of the series.