Seattle Mariners vs LA Angels Prediction MLB Picks 7/11/24

Pick details

LA Angels (37-54) vs Seattle Mariners (50-43)

July 11, 2024 at 09:38 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: LA Angels +138 / Seattle Mariners -150 — Over/Under: 8

(Get latest betting odds)

The Seattle Mariners and the Los Angeles Angels meet Thursday in MLB action from Angel Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs LA Angels Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Luis Castillo will get the start for the Mariners here and Castillo is 7-9 with a 3.72 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Angels, Castillo is 3-1 with a 3.52 ERA and 36 strikeouts. Jack Kochanowicz will make his major league debut for the Angels in this one.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to build on their sweep of the two-game set against the San Diego Padres in their last matchup by a final score of 2-0 on Wednesday. The win snapped a lengthy series losing streak for the Mariners, which featured losses to the Blue Jays, Orioles and Twins in the last two weeks.

Mariners Trying To Hold On For Dear Life Atop AL West

Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners with 91 hits including a .253 batting average and also has 8 doubles. Cal Raleigh has a team-high 17 home runs along with 55 RBIs and 111 strikeouts. Mitch Haniger also has 8 home runs and 34 RBIs while Rodriguez has a team-high 18 stolen bases and 105 strikeouts as well this season. Dylan Moore has a team-high 14 doubles and Mitch Garver has 12 doubles also this season.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The Mariners have won each of their last seven games against the Angels following a win.
  • The Angels have lost eight of their last nine games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Angels have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Mariners following a win.
  • The road team has covered the run line in 10 of the Mariners’ last 12 games.

Los Angeles Angels Recap

The Los Angeles Angels come into this game looking to pick up some momentum after salvaging a win from their series with the Texas Rangers after a 7-2 win in Wednesday’s series finale. The win didn’t stop the Angels from another series loss after falling flat against the Cubs and A’s over the last week and a half.

Angels Looking For Answers Going Into Second Half

Taylor Ward has 79 hits along with 16 doubles, 14 home runs and a team-high 44 RBIs. Mike Trout also has 10 home runs along with a pair of triples and 6 stolen bases, but remains out indefinitely with injury while Zach Neto has 20 doubles, 77 strikeouts and 14 stolen bases. Luis Rengifo also has a team-high 79 hits and 22 stolen bases while Jo Adell has 14 home runs, 38 RBIs and 10 stolen bases as well.

Why the Los Angeles Angels will win

  • The Mariners have lost seven of their last eight road games against American League opponents following a road win.
  • The home team has won each of the last five games between the Mariners and Angels.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against American League opponents.
  • The Angels have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games against AL West opponents.

Seattle Mariners vs LA Angels Prediction

I’m leaning towards the Mariners here. I don’t love this price with Seattle and I’m not overly sold on the Mariners winning the AL West by season’s end, but this is a spot they need to take advantage of if they’re going to make that playoff push. Kochanowicz is getting fast tracked here with injuries in the Angels’ rotation, and he wasn’t very good in AA this season with a 4.55 ERA in 91 innings. I think Seattle does enough here to get the win but it’s not one I’m rushing to bet.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Seattle -150

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