Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 7/9/24

San Diego Padres (49-45) vs Seattle Mariners (49-43)

Game Info: Tuesday, July 9, 2024 at 9:40 pm (Petco Park)

Adam Mazur (1-2) (7.52) vs Logan Gilbert (5-5) (2.91)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres +120 / Seattle Mariners -141 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Seattle Mariners and the San Diego Padres meet Tuesday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Seattle Mariners will send out Logan Gilbert for the start here and Gilbert is 5-5 with a 2.91 ERA and 108 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gilbert is 3-1 with a 1.11 ERA and 24 strikeouts against the Padres. Adam Mazur will get the start for the Padres here and Mazur is 1-2 with a 7.52 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. This will be Mazur’s first career start against the Mariners.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this one looking to bounce back from a 5-4 loss in extra innings on Sunday in their series rubber match against the Blue Jays, taking their 6th straight series loss in a row after series losses to the Orioles, Twins and Rays over the last two weeks.

Mariners Trying To Find Offense

Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners with 87 hits including a .247 batting average and also has 7 doubles. Cal Raleigh has a team-high 15 home runs along with 51 RBIs and 109 strikeouts. Mitch Haniger also has 8 home runs and 34 RBIs while Rodriguez has a team-high 18 stolen bases and 101 strikeouts as well this season. Dylan Moore has a team-high 14 doubles and Mitch Garver has 12 doubles also this season.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The Mariners have won each of their last four night games following an extra innings loss.
  • The Padres have lost four of their last five games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as road favorites following a home loss.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this one looking to bounce back from a series loss after a 9-1 loss to Arizona in Sunday’s rubber match, failing to keep their series win streak alive after wins over the Rangers and Red Sox over the last week and a half.

Padres Trying To Close Ground In NL West

Jurickson Profar has 100 hits along with a .315 batting average and 16 doubles with 14 homers and 59 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 54 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted a team-high 14 home runs, 86 hits, 71 strikeouts and 8 stolen bases as well this season, but is out of the lineup because of injury. Manny Machado has 12 home runs and 50 RBIs but also has 75 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 71 hits with 3 triples, 12 doubles, 10 home runs, 40 RBIs and a team-high 17 stolen bases.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won each of their last 10 home games against AL West opponents.
  • The Mariners have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL West opponents following a home loss.
  • The Padres have covered the run line each of their last eight home games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.

Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction

I’m on the over here. The Padres have been crushing right-handed pitching for the better part of the last month and I think they can get to Logan Gilbert here, who has been more than vulnerable this season. On the other side, the Mariners have been sluggish against right-handed pitching, but Mazur has not looked major league ready as he’s struggled giving up runs and he’s really struggled with control as well, giving up more walks than strikeouts this season. I think this one is made for some runs so give me the over.

Chris’s Pick Over 7.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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