Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers Prediction MLB Picks 7/7/24

Texas Rangers (41-48) vs Tampa Bay Rays (44-45)

Game Info: Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 2:35 pm (Globe Life Field)

Nathan Eovaldi (5-3) (3.15) vs Zack Littell (3-5) (3.65)

Betting Odds: Texas Rangers -137 / Tampa Bay Rays +116 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 7th at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Rays recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Rangers recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Texas
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Tampa Bay and Texas
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Tampa Bay and Texas

Rays are Back Below .500

The Tampa Bay Rays are 44-45 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Tampa Bay has dropped the first two games in this series and they have scored a total of three runs in the losses. Prior to this series, the Rays won two out of three against the Royals, won two out of three against the Nationals, and won two out of three against the Mariners. Tampa Bay is 7-5 in their last 12 games and they are fourth in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 357 runs with a .235 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Isaac Paredes is batting .269 with 14 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Rays this season. Tampa Bay has scored three runs or fewer in six of their last nine games. 

Rangers are Trying for the Sweep 

The Texas Rangers are 41-48 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Texas has won the first two games in this series by scores of 3-0 and 4-3. Prior to this series, the Rangers lost two out of three against the Padres, lost three out of four against the Orioles, and lost all three against the Brewers. Texas is 4-8 in their last 12 games and they are third in the AL West. 

The Texas pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 381 runs with a .226 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Marcus Semien is batting .232 with 12 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Rangers this season. Texas has scored four runs or more in five of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Zack Littell, who is 3-5 with a 3.94 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 91.1 innings pitched this year. Littell has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Nathan Eovaldi, who is 5-3 with a 3.15 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 80.0 innings pitched this season. Eovaldi has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. 

Why the Rays will beat the Rangers

  • The Rangers have lost four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The underdogs have won four of the Rangers' last five games at Globe Life Field.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Rangers' last eight games.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rangers' last six games as favorites against the Rays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Rays' last four games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rangers' last 11 games as home favorites against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rays' last four games at Globe Life Field.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Marcus Semien has hit a home run in four of the Rangers' last seven games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Corey Seager has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances at Globe Life Field.
  • Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rangers' last four games against AL opponents.
  • Nathan Eovaldi has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Marcus Semien has scored at least one run in each of the Rangers' last six games against AL East opponents at Globe Life Field.
  • Corey Seager has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • Nathaniel Lowe has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
  • Nathan Eovaldi has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Rangers as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of the Rays' last five games as underdogs.
  • Randy Arozarena has recorded a Double in three of the Rays' last four road games against AL opponents.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Taylor Walls has scored a run in five of his last six appearances with the Rays as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Randy Arozarena has recorded a Single in seven of the Rays' last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers Prediction 

Texas comes into this game seven games below .500, but they have won the first two games in this series and have a chance at the sweep here. Texas is 23-21 at home this year, while Tampa Bay is 21-20 on the road. The Rays have played better over the last few weeks, but their offense has let them down recently. Tampa Bay is going with Littell, who has been very sharp over his last three starts. Texas is starting Eovaldi, but he has alternated good and bad starts over his last five. I don’t know what to expect from Eovaldi in this game and Littell has been very good, so my Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers prediction is for the Rays to win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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