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Milwaukee Brewers vs LA Dodgers Prediction MLB Picks 7/6/24
Pick details
LA Dodgers (53-35) vs Milwaukee Brewers (52-36)
July 6, 2024 at 07:15 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: LA Dodgers -123 / Milwaukee Brewers +105 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Milwaukee Brewers and LA Dodgers meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs LA Dodgers Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Brewers vs LA Dodgers Pick.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 52-37 on the year after games against the Cubs and Rockies. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won 6 of their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 104 hits and 51 RBI, while Brice Turang and Willy Adames have combined for 169 hits and 95 RBI.
LA Dodgers Betting Preview
The LA Dodgers are 54-35 on the year after playing the Giants and Diamondbacks. The LA Dodgers have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 9 games. The LA Dodgers have won 10 of their last 13 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Shohei Ohtani leads the LA Dodgers with 106 hits and 64 RBI, while Freddie Freeman and Teoscar Hernandez have combined for 185 hits and 118 RBI.
Milwaukee Brewers vs LA Dodgers Pitching Pick Matchup
Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 6-4 with a 3.83 ERA and 120 strikeouts this season. Peralta has allowed 27 hits and 15 earned runs in his last 31.2 innings. Peralta has a 3.49 ERA and .209 allowed batting average in 49 road innings. Peralta is 2-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the LA Dodgers.
James Paxton gets the ball for the LA Dodgers, and he is 7-2 with a 4.28 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. Paxton has allowed 25 hits and 17 earned runs in his last 23.2 innings. Paxton has a 2.51 ERA and .212 allowed batting average in 28.2 home innings. This will be Paxton’s first career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will Beat the Brewers
- The Brewers have lost each of their last nine games at Dodger Stadium following a loss.
- The favorites have won each of the last nine games between the Brewers and Dodgers.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Brewers.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Dodgers following a road loss.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one Double in three of the Dodgers’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- James Paxton has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Shohei Ohtani has hit at least one home run in each of the Dodgers’ last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Will Smith has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances at Dodger Stadium against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Freddie Freeman has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Dodgers’ last nine Saturday games.
- James Paxton has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his four previous home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Shohei Ohtani has scored at least one run in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Mookie Betts has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances at Dodger Stadium against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.626) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has scored a run in each of the Brewers’ last four games as road underdogs.
- Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Willy Adames has recorded a Single in each of the Brewers’ last five games as road underdogs.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one total base in 13 of his last 14 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Brewers’ last six games as road underdogs.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (167).
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for RBI’s this season (436).
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (323).
- The Milwaukee Brewers are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
Milwaukee Brewers vs LA Dodgers Prediction
The Milwaukee Brewers and the plus money is always worth a look given how good they’ve been this season, and it doesn’t hurt that Freddy Peralta is on the mound. However, you can also argue that the Dodgers at home with the cheap price and James Paxton on the hill is even greater value. You don’t get these spots with the Dodgers often especially at home. The Dodgers have had a lot of success with James Paxton on the mound this season. I have to side with the Dodgers and the cheap price, as I’d need more bang for my buck to pull the trigger with the Brewers.
