LA Angels vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 7/6/24

Pick details

Chicago Cubs (41-48) vs LA Angels (36-51)

July 6, 2024 at 02:20 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -143 / LA Angels +121 — Over/Under: 8.5

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In this article we will formulate a LA Angels vs Chicago Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 6th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Angels recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Cubs recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Los Angeles 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Los Angeles and Chicago
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Los Angeles and Chicago 

Angels Looking for More Offense

The Los Angeles Angels are 36-51 this season and they have lost five games in a row. LA dropped the first game in this series on Friday afternoon and they only managed one run in the loss. Prior to this series, the Angels were swept by the Athletics, won three out of four against the Tigers, and won all three against the Athletics. Los Angeles is 6-5 in their last 11 games and they are fourth in the AL West. 

The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.63 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Angels offense has scored 352 runs with a .236 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Taylor Ward is batting .236 with 14 home runs and 44 RBI’s for the Angels this season. Los Angeles has scored a total of one run in their last three games. 

Cubs are at the Bottom of the NL Central 

The Chicago Cubs are 41-48 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. Chicago won the first game in this series by a score of 5-1 on Friday afternoon. Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Phillies, lost two out of three against the Brewers, and lost three out of four against the Giants. Chicago is 4-8 in their last 12 games and they are last in the NL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 369 runs with a .230 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Ian Happ is batting .242 with 13 home runs and 52 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. Chicago has allowed at least four runs in eight of their last twelve games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Tyler Anderson, who is 7-8 with 3.03 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 104.0 innings pitched this year. Anderson has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Kyle Hendricks, who is 1-6 with a 7.48 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 61.1 innings pitched this season. Hendricks has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his last three starts. 

Why the Angels will beat the Cubs

  • The Angels have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Cubs have lost nine of their last 12 games as home favorites following a win.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as favorites following a win.
  • The Angels have covered the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Cubs’ last five home games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Angels’ last three games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last five day games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Angels’ last three day games against National League opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two games as home favorites.
  • Kyle Hendricks has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Cubs as home favorites against AL opponents.
  • Ian Happ has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Cubs’ last six day games.
  • Seiya Suzuki has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Kyle Hendricks has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Cubs as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • Cody Bellinger has scored at least one run in each of his last six home appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs’ last 10 games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last nine home games.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

  • Taylor Ward has recorded an RBI in each of his last three appearances against the Cubs.
  • Tyler Anderson has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Angels as road underdogs.
  • Tyler Anderson has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his four previous road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Mike Trout has scored at least one run in each of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Luis Rengifo has hit at least one home run in each of his two previous appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Anthony Rendon has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as an underdog against NL Central opponents.
  • Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one total base in 13 of his last 14 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Luis Rengifo has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games.
  • Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.

LA Angels vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 

The Cubs were able to get a very strong performance from Justin Steele in game one of this series for the win, but they have really struggled over the last two months and they are last in the NL Central. The Angels have only scored one total run in their last three games and they are just 18-25 on the road this year. LA will have Tyler Anderson on the mound, who has been pretty strong, but has had two poor outings recently. Chicago will answer with Kyle Hendricks, who has had two strong starts in his last three outings, but the last time out was not good. I think the Angels have some value here with how poorly Hendricks has pitched for the majority of the season, so my LA Angels vs Chicago Cubs prediction is for the Angels to win. 

David Racey's Pick: Angels ML

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