Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction MLB Picks 7/6/24

New York Yankees (54-36) vs Boston Red Sox (48-39)

Game Info: Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 1:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Gerrit Cole (1-1) (6.23) vs Josh Winckowski (2-1) (2.80)

Betting Odds: New York Yankees -175 / Boston Red Sox +153 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 6th at Yankee Stadium in New York. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Red Sox recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Yankees recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Boston and New York
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Boston and New York

Red Sox Going for Six Straight 

The Boston Red Sox are 48-39 this season and they have won five games in a row. Boston won the first game in this series by a score of 5-3 in extra innings on Friday. Prior to this series, the Red Sox swept the Marlins, lost two out of three against the Padres, and split two games with the Blue Jays. Boston is 8-3 in their last 11 games and they are third in the AL East. 

The Boston pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 407 runs with a .253 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .284 with 18 home runs and 51 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has scored at least five runs in four straight games. 

Yankees Slide Continues 

The New York Yankees are 54-36 this year and they have lost four games in a row. New York led game one in this series by a score of 3-1 in the ninth inning on Friday, but they lost in extra innings. Prior to this series, the Yankees were swept by the Reds, split four games with the Blue Jays, and lost both games against the Mets. New York is just 2-9 in their last 11 games and they are second in the AL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .225 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 450 runs with a .247 batting average and a .330 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .300 with 21 home runs and 63 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. New York has allowed at least five runs in eight of their last ten games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Josh Winckowski, who is 2-1 with a 2.80 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 35.1 innings pitched this year. Winckowski has allowed a total of two earned runs in his last 12.0 innings of work. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Gerrit Cole, who is 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 13.0 innings pitched this season. Cole has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his three starts this year, but has gone only four, four, and five innings in those outings. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Red Sox

  • The Red Sox have lost five of their last six day games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Yankees have won five of their last six games against the Red Sox after going to extra innings.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three day games against AL East opponents following a win.

Why the Red Sox will beat the Yankees

  • The Red Sox have won each of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games at Yankee Stadium.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as home favorites.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three home day games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Yankees' last five day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Red Sox's last six day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last five games at Yankee Stadium.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Red Sox's last five games against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Gerrit Cole has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Gerrit Cole has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of his last 13 appearances at Yankee Stadium against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Trevino has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Yankees as favorites against the Red Sox.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.
  • Anthony Rizzo has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.
  • Tyler O'Neill has scored at least one run in six of his seven previous appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Triston Casas has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Trevor Story has recorded a hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction 

The Yankees have really struggled over the last couple of weeks and they are now second in the AL East behind Baltimore. New York is still 24-18 at home this year, but their loss on Friday was a bad one. Boston is 28-16 on the road and they have been one of the hottest teams in the MLB since May. The Red Sox are starting Winckowski, who has been very solid recently, while Gerrit Cole has been decent in limited work for New York. I do think this pitching matchup is pretty solid and I think we are in for another lower scoring game. My Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees prediction is for this game to go under the total. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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