Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB Picks 6/30/24

Kansas City Royals (46-39) vs Cleveland Guardians (52-29)

Game Info: Sunday, June 30, 2024 at 2:10 pm (Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium)

Seth Lugo (10-2) (2.37) vs Logan Allen (8-3) (5.72)

Betting Odds: Kansas City Royals -130 / Cleveland Guardians +110 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 30th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Guardians recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Royals recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Kansas City
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Cleveland and Kansas City
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Cleveland and Kansas City

Guardians Fighting for Series Split 

The Cleveland Guardians are 52-29 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Cleveland lost the first two games in this series, but they did win game three by a score of 7-2 on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Guardians won two out of three against the Orioles, swept the Blue Jays, and won two out of three against the Mariners. Cleveland is 8-3 in their last 11 games and they continue to lead the AL Central. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 405 runs with a .245 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .280 with 23 home runs and 75 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland has scored six runs or more in seven of their last eleven games. 

Royals are Heating Back Up

The Kansas City Royals are 46-39 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Kansas City won the first two games in this series by scores of 2-1 and 10-3. Prior to this series, the Royals won two out of three against the Marlins, lost all three against the Rangers, and lost two out of three against the Athletics. Kansas City is 4-2 in their last six games and they are batting with Minnesota for second in the AL Central. 

The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 386 runs with a .244 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .307 with 12 home runs and 53 RBI’s for the Royals this season. Kansas City has allowed three runs or fewer in five of their last six games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 8-3 with a 5.72 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP over 78.2 innings pitched this season. Allen has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Seth Lugo, who is 10-2 with a 2.29 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 110.0 innings pitched this year. Lugo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. 

Why the Royals will beat the Guardians

  • The Royals have won each of their last seven games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Guardians have lost four of their last five day games against the Royals following a road win.
  • The Royals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents following a road win.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the Royals' last six home games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Guardians' last five day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last three day games between the Guardians and Royals.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Hunter Renfroe has hit a home run in three of the Royals' last four games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Kyle Isbel has scored a run in seven of the Royals' last eight games as home favorites against AL opponents.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Royals' last six day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals' last eight games at Kauffman Stadium.
  • Seth Lugo has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with his team as a favorite against AL Central opponents.
  • Seth Lugo has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Royals as favorites.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Single in seven of the Royals' last eight games against the Guardians.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals' last eight games as home favorites.
  • Austin Nola has recorded a Double in three of his four previous appearances against the Guardians.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in three of the Guardians' last four games as underdogs.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Guardians' last five games against AL Central opponents.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Guardians' last six day games.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in day games.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians' last seven games at Kauffman Stadium.

Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 

Kansas City is finally starting to turn things around after a couple of brutal weeks, and they are going for the series win here. The Royals are 29-16 at home, while the Guardians are 26-20 on the road. Cleveland has a nice lead in the AL Central standings, but they are starting Logan Allen, who allows way too many base runners. Kansas City is going with Seth Lugo, who has been one of the best pitchers in the AL so far this year. I know the Guardians lineup has been great this season, but I will take Lugo over Allen. My Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Prediction is for the Royals to win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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