Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB Picks 6/28/24

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Kansas City Royals (44-38) vs Cleveland Guardians (51-27)

June 28, 2024 at 08:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas City Royals -109 / Cleveland Guardians -109 — Over/Under: 10

(Get latest betting odds)

The Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals meet Friday in MLB game 2 action at Kauffman Stadium. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Prediction. This article will include a Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Pick.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 51-28 on the year after games against the Blue Jays and Orioles. The Cleveland Guardians have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 11 games. The Cleveland Guardians have won 6 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 85 hits and 72 RBI, while Steven Kwan and Andres Gimenez have combined for 152 hits and 61 RBI.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 45-38 on the year after games against the Rangers and Marlins. The Kansas City Royals have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9 games. The Kansas City Royals have lost 6 of their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 103 hits and 53 RBI, while Salvador Perez and Maikel Garcia have combined for 159 hits and 87 RBI.

Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Pick Matchup

Triston McKenzie gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 3-4 with a 4.66 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. McKenzie has allowed 19 hits and 14 runs in his last 16 innings. McKenzie has a 4.28 ERA and .219 allowed batting average in 27.1 road innings. McKenzie is 4-2 with a 3.19 ERA and 63 strikeouts in his career against the Kansas City Royals.

Alec Marsh gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 5-5 with a 4.40 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season. Marsh has allowed 30 hits and 19 runs in his last 25.2 innings. Marsh has a 3.58 ERA and .236 allowed batting average in 37.2 home innings. Marsh is 1-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 5 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will Beat the Royals

  • The Guardians have won 13 of their last 15 games at Kauffman Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Royals have lost five of their last six games following a win.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in five of their last six road games following a road loss.
  • The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as favorites.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Royals’ last eight Friday night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 22 games at Kauffman Stadium.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Royals’ last 22 games at Kauffman Stadium.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Royals’ last six games at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals’ last six games at Kauffman Stadium.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Double in three of the Royals’ last four night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Single in each of the Royals’ last six games against the Guardians.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Guardians’ last five games as road favorites against AL opponents.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded a Double in each of the Guardians’ last three road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Guardians’ last eight games as favorites against the Royals.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 Friday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in eight of the Guardians’ last nine games as favorites.
  • Steven Kwan has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three games as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six appearances against AL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Kansas City Royals rank 5th in the league for home runs allowed this season (73).
  • The Kansas City Royals rank 7th in the league for doubles this season (142).
  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (291).
  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (577).

Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

The Kansas City Royals probably should have the edge at home, and Alec Marsh has been more trustworthy this season. We know what Triston McKenzie is capable of when he’s rolling, but he’s been hit or miss since last season, and he’s had some of his biggest struggles on the road this year. With all that said, no team has earned bettors more money than the Guardians this season and there’s no reason to fade them knowing that when the prices are so cheap. Give me the Guardians as they continue to cash MLB bettors money this season.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Cleveland Guardians -109

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