Tampa Bay Rays vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB Picks 6/21/24

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Pittsburgh Pirates (36-38) vs Tampa Bay Rays (35-39)

June 21, 2024 at 06:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates / Tampa Bay Rays — Over/Under:

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In this article, we will formulate a Tampa Bay Rays vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 21st at PNC Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Rays form and recent player performance 

-The Pirates form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Pittsburgh

-Recent betting trends in games played between Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Rays and Pirates. 

Rays Coming Off a Series Win

The Rays faced off against the Minnesota Twins in the last series and they were able to win two of the three games. On Thursday they almost blew the game late but they ended up winning 7-6 in extra innings. Yandy Diaz did hit a home run and drove in two RBIs. Jose Siri also hit a home run and drove in one RBI. The Rays are averaging 3.93 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.87 runs per game. The offense is ranked 24th in the league while the pitching is ranked 26th. Isaac Parades has hit 11 home runs and driven in 39 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Rays will be Ryan Pepiot who sits with a 4-4 record and an ERA of 4.57. In his last start against the Atlanta Braves he went 4.2 innings giving up six hits and five runs. Two games ago against the Baltimore Orioles he went six innings giving up nine hits and four runs.  

Why Rays Will Win

  • The Pirates have lost each of their last nine Friday games against AL East opponents.
  • The Rays have won eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Friday games against AL East opponents.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last four games.

Pirates Offense is Struggling

The Pirates offense is struggling and even though they have gone 1-1 in the last game, there has been some struggles. Over the last two games the offense has scored only two runs. On Wednesday the Pirates were able to secure the 1-0 victory. The Pirates are averaging 4.04 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.38 runs per game. The offense is ranked 22nd in the league while the pitching is ranked 16th. Byran Reynolds has hit 10 home runs and driven in 40 RBIs so far this season. 

Why the Pirates Will Win

  • The home team has won nine of the last 10 games between the Rays and Pirates.
  • The Rays have lost five of their last six games against NL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in three of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

The Pirates offense has really struggled heading into this game and even against a pitcher that hasn’t been great, they are going to struggle here. Ryan Pepiot sits with an ERA of 4.57 and he’s going to step up in a big way here. The Pirates are averaging 4.04 runs and they are going to really struggle to get any type of of offense going here. Back the Rays to get the job done on the money line. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Rays ML

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