New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 6/15/24

The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox meet Saturday in MLB action from Fenway Park. Here’s a New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The New York Yankees recent form and player performance

The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox

Recent betting trends in games played between the Yankees and Red Sox

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Yankees vs Red Sox game

New York Yankees Betting Preview

This week the Yankees took on the Kansas City Royals. New York won the first two installments of that series 10-1 and 11-5, but missed out on the sweep with a 4-3 loss Thursday. In Friday’s opener versus the rival Red Sox, the Yankees cruised to an 8-1 win. Luis Gil lasted 5.0 innings in the start with one earned on four hits and four walks.

For the starter gig in the Saturday game the Yankees will send out Carlos Rodon. This year Rodon is 9-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 74 Ks in 80.0 innings over 14 starts. Rodon is 68-56 with a 3.76 ERA in 180 career games (175 starts).

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Over on the Red Sox’ side, they played the Philadelphia Phillies in their last series. Boston lost Tuesday’s matchup 4-1 but came back for wins 8-6 and 9-3 in the remaining pair to take the set. On Friday Boston was out-hit 10-5 in the loss. Starter Brayan Bello managed 4.2 innings with four earned on six hits and three walks.

It’ll be Cooper Criswell in the starter slot for the Sox on Saturday. So far this season Criswell is 3-3 with a 4.13 ERA in 11 games (10 starts). Criswell is 4-5 with a 4.94 career ERA in 23 games (12 starts) overall.

Yankees vs Red Sox Injury Notes

Red Sox SS Romy Gonzalez (hamstring) went 1-for-2 with a walk and an RBI in a rehab outing Thursday.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Yankees’ last 12 night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Red Sox’s last eight games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five night games at Fenway Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as underdogs.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Connor Wong has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against AL East opponents at Fenway Park.
• Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in 15 of his last 16 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances against AL East opponents.
• Rafael Devers ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.380) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
• Aaron Judge has recorded two or more total bases in 10 of his last 12 appearances in night games.
• Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Yankees’ last nine games.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last nine Saturday night games as favorites.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his six previous appearances against the Red Sox.
• Jose Trevino has hit at least one home run in each of the Yankees’ last two road games against AL East opponents.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in each of his last seven appearances.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.688) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Boston Red Sox rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (679).
• The Boston Red Sox rank 5th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.410).
• The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (2.88).
• The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.210).

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’ll go with the Yankees. Rodon is pitching well over his last two starts. In that pair he’s got three earned on eight hits and zero walks in 13.0 combined innings. Rodon is 2-0 in those two as well. As for Criswell, he’s given up 11 earned runs in 13.1 innings total over his last three outings (seven in one start).

On Friday the Yankees got a big day from Alex Verdugo (three hits; four RBI; homer) in the blowout opener win. The pitching was great as well with only five hits allowed. The game was pretty much over by the sixth inning, though. We’ll see how it goes Saturday.