Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 6/15/24

Baltimore Orioles (45-23) vs Philadelphia Phillies (46-22)

Game Info: Saturday, June 15, 2024 at 4:05 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Grayson Rodriguez (7-2) (3.27) vs Taijuan Walker (3-1) (5.40)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -185 / Philadelphia Phillies +156 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Philadelphia Phillies and Baltimore Orioles meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 47-22 on the year after games against the Mets and Red Sox. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 6 of their last 9 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 75 hits and 54 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have combined for 129 hits and 89 RBI.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 45-24 on the year after games against the Rays and Braves. The Baltimore Orioles have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 9 games. The Baltimore Orioles have won 6 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Adley Rutschman leads the Baltimore Orioles with 79 hits and 51 RBI, while Gunnar Henderson and Jordan Westburg have combined for 140 hits and 86 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Taijuan Walker gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 3-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 36 strikeouts this season. Walker has allowed 7 hits and 6 runs in his last 10.2 innings. Walker has a 5.89 ERA and .338 allowed batting average in 18.1 road innings. Walker is 4-1 with a 2.54 ERA and 42 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Grayson Rodriguez gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 7-2 with a 3.27 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. Rodriguez has allowed 9 hits and 3 earned runs in his last 12.1 innings. Rodriguez has a 2.12 ERA and .198 allowed batting average in 29.2 home innings. This will be Rodriguez’s first career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Orioles have won each of their last five day games following a home loss.
  • The Phillies have lost three of their last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against American League opponents after going to extra innings.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in 10 of their last 12 games after playing the previous day.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit at least one home run in three of his last four Saturday appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Cedric Mullins has scored at least one run in five of the Orioles' last six games as favorites.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight Saturday appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Austin Hays has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Orioles as favorites.
  • Austin Hays has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Orioles as home favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Ramon Urias has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Gunnar Henderson ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.587) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Taijuan Walker has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies' last four games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • Taijuan Walker has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Phillies as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Trea Turner has scored a run in each of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Phillies against AL opponents.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one total base in each of his 12 previous Saturday appearances with the Phillies as underdogs.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his 12 previous Saturday appearances with the Phillies as underdogs.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as underdogs.
  • Bryce Harper ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.388) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 2nd in the league for RBI's this season (340).
  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (58).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.05).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank T3rd in the league for runs scored this season (350).

Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies and the plus money is attractive given what they've done all season, but Taijuan Walker has been rough this season, and he's not a guy I'm going to trust on the road against good teams. The Orioles are a trustworthy team, especially at home and Grayson Rodriguez has been fantastic this season. Steep price, but I like the Orioles, and I'll lay the RL to shave down the juice. 

Randy’s Pick Baltimore Orioles -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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