San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 6/15/24

New York Mets (31-37) vs San Diego Padres (37-36)

Game Info: Saturday, June 15, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Citi Field)

Jose Quintana (1-5) (5.29) vs Adam Mazur (0-1) (9.00)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -120 / San Diego Padres +102 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.tv

In this article we will formulate a San Diego Padres vs New York Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 15th at Citi Field in New York. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Padres recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Mets recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Diego
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
  • Recent betting trends in games played between San Diego and New York
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between San Diego and New York

Padres are Trying to Catch the Dodgers

The San Diego Padres are 37-36 this year and they have won three of their last four games. San Diego lost game one in this series on Friday night, where they only managed to score one run. Prior to this series, the Padres swept the Athletics in three games, split four games with the Diamondbacks, and lost all three against the Angels. San Diego is 5-2 in their last seven games and they are second in the NL West behind the Dodgers. 

The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 326 runs with a .261 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Fernando Tatis is batting .276 with 13 home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Padres this season. San Diego has scored at least four runs in five of their last seven games. 

Mets are Heating Up 

The New York Mets are 31-37 this season and they have won three games in a row. New York won game one in this series by a score of 2-1 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Mets won two out of three against the Marlins, split two games with the Phillies, and swept the Nationals in three games. New York is 7-2 in their last nine games, but they are still fourth in the NL East behind the Phillies, Braves, and Nationals. 

The New York pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 297 runs with a .240 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .230 with 14 home runs and 32 RBI’s for the Mets this season. New York has allowed three runs or fewer in four of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Adam Mazur, who is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and a 1.89 WHIP over 9.0 innings pitched this year. Mazur allowed one earned run in his first outing against the Angels, but allowed eight earned runs against Arizona last time out. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Jose Quintana, who is 1-5 with a 5.29 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 66.1 innings pitched this season. Quintana has allowed exactly three earned runs in each of his last four starts and has only lasted 3.2 and 4.0 innings in his last two. 

Why the New York Mets will win

The Padres have lost each of their last four road games after playing the previous day.The home team has won each of the Padres' last four games.The Padres have failed to cover the run line each of their last four day games against teams that held a losing record.The Mets have covered the run line in 21 of their last 27 day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

The Padres have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.The Mets have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Padres following a home win.The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games at Citi Field following a win.The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Mets following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Mets' last five games as favorites against the Padres have gone UNDER the total runs line.Each of the Padres' last four road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Padres and Mets at Citi Field.

San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction 

New York was able to get the win on Friday night in game one of this series and they have played much better over their last ten games, but they are still way back in the NL East standings. San Diego is 19-15 on the road this year and they are also playing very well right now. I know we saw a very low scoring game on Friday, but I think we are going to see quite a few runs here. Quintana is a below average pitcher for the Mets and I think Mazur is going to struggle once again here. My San Diego Padres vs New York Mets prediction is for this game to go over the total. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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